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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Granada
T U T T T
0–2
Full-time
Malaga
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 20%
12%
27%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 58%
61%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
3 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Granada 19. · Malaga 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 33 23 6 4 +62 75
2 Real Madrid 32 23 6 3 +48 75
3 Ath Madrid 33 20 8 5 +36 68
4 Sevilla 33 19 8 6 +19 65
5 Villarreal 33 16 9 8 +21 57
6 Ath Bilbao 33 17 5 11 +9 56
7 Sociedad 33 17 4 12 +4 55
8 Eibar 33 14 8 11 +7 50
9 Espanol 34 13 11 10 +1 50
10 Celta 32 13 5 14 -4 44
11 Alaves 33 11 11 11 -8 44
12 Valencia 33 11 7 15 -9 40
13 Las Palmas 33 10 9 14 -6 39
14 Betis 33 10 7 16 -15 37
15 Malaga 33 9 9 15 -11 36
16 La Coruna 33 7 10 16 -16 31
17 Leganes 33 6 9 18 -24 27
18 Sp Gijon 34 5 9 20 -30 24
19 Granada 33 4 8 21 -43 20
20 Osasuna 33 3 9 21 -41 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Malaga
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
10′
Mehdi Carcela-González 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–0
G. Silva 🔁
↦ Litri
46′
47′
Sandro Ramírez 0–1
Keko
Adrian Ramos 🟨
49′
Mubarak Wakaso 🟨
51′
A. Malle 🔁
↦ M. Wakaso
54′
68′
🔁 Duda
↦ Keko
Aly Mallé 🟨
72′
74′
🔁 M. Demichelis
↦ Juan Carlos
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ Isaac Cuenca
76′
87′
🔁 Javi Ontiveros
↦ Recio
92′
Sandro Ramírez 0–2
Javi Ontiveros
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Granada

4-3-3
13 G. Ochoa G
25 S. Ingason D
22 D. Foulquier D
23 Litri D
5 U. Agbo M
29 M. Hongla D
16 M. Carcela M
8 M. Wakaso M
21 R. Krhin M
19 Isaac Cuenca M
7 A. Ramos F
Bench (7)
3 G. Silva
34 A. Malle
9 E. Ponce
1 Rui Silva
6 Lombán
11 P. Kone
17 Rúben Vezo

Coach: T. Adams

Malaga

4-1-4-1
1 C. Kameni
24 Luis Hernández D
7 Juan Carlos D
5 Diego Llorente D
15 F. Ricca D
29 Luis D
6 Ignacio Camacho M
20 Keko M
14 Recio M
31 Pablo Fornals M
19 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (7)
17 Duda
3 M. Demichelis
39 Javi Ontiveros
9 Charles
11 G. Castro
13 D. Boyko
25 José Rodríguez

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.