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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Chelsea
S U U S T
2–1
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Champions League · 5/11 matches
Win Ø 53%
60%
45%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
40%
55%
Both score Ø 48%
40%
55%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Sep -22 Dinamo Zagreb – Chelsea 1–0

Match report

Chelsea Dinamo Zagreb
7′
⚽ B. Petković 0–1
1–1 R. Sterling ⚽
P. Aubameyang
18′
22′
🟨 Josip Mišić
2–1 D. Zakaria ⚽
30′
Kalidou Koulibaly 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–1
54′
🟨 Luka Ivanušec
C. Gallagher 🔁
↦ K. Havertz
64′
A. Broja 🔁
↦ P. Aubameyang
65′
Thiago Silva 🔁
↦ K. Koulibaly
65′
69′
🔁 M. Emreli
↦ S. Ristovski
R. Loftus-Cheek 🔁
↦ D. Zakaria
71′
C. Pulišić 🔁
↦ R. Sterling
83′
83′
🔁 J. Drmić
↦ B. Petković
83′
🔁 M. Bulat
↦ A. Ademi
89′
🟨 Sadegh Moharrami
89′
🔁 D. Špikić
↦ M. Oršić
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-3-1-2
16 É. Mendy G
28 César Azpilicueta D
14 T. Chalobah D
26 K. Koulibaly D
21 B. Chilwell D
19 M. Mount M
5 Jorginho M
20 D. Zakaria M
29 K. Havertz M
17 R. Sterling F
9 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (8)
23 C. Gallagher
18 A. Broja
6 Thiago Silva
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
10 C. Pulišić
13 M. Bettinelli
22 H. Ziyech
32 Marc Cucurella

Coach: G. Potter

Dinamo Zagreb

3-1-4-2
40 D. Livaković G
13 S. Ristovski D
37 J. Šutalo D
55 D. Perić D
27 J. Mišić M
2 S. Moharrami M
7 L. Ivanušec M
5 A. Ademi M
14 R. Ljubičić M
9 B. Petković F
99 M. Oršić F
Bench (12)
11 M. Emreli
18 J. Drmić
31 M. Bulat
77 D. Špikić
33 I. Nevistić
20 A. Marin
12 P. Bočkaj
10 M. Baturina
3 D. Štefulj
6 R. Lauritsen
70 L. Menalo
28 K. Théophile-Catherine

Coach: A. Čačić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.