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Champions League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
Man City
U T S U S
3–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
21 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Sep -22 Sevilla – Man City 0–4

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.