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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Marseille
S T T T U
1–2
Full-time
Tottenham
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Sep -22 Tottenham – Marseille 2–0

Match report

Marseille Tottenham
S. Gigot 🔁
↦ E. Bailly
9′
29′
🔁 Y. Bissouma
↦ Son Heung-Min
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Emerson
↦ R. Sessegnon
1–0 C. Mbemba ⚽
J. Veretout
47′
54′
⚽ C. Lenglet 1–1
I. Perišić
57′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
S. Kolašinac 🔁
↦ S. Gigot
73′
I. Kaboré 🔁
↦ J. Clauss
74′
C. Ünder 🔁
↦ J. Veretout
74′
Leonardo Balerdi 🟨
76′
L. Suárez 🔁
↦ V. Rongier
83′
84′
🔁 O. Skipp
↦ R. Bentancur
91′
🟨 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
93′
🔁 Bryan Gil
↦ Lucas Moura
95′
⚽ P. Højbjerg 1–2
H. Kane
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Marseille

3-4-2-1
16 Pau López G
99 C. Mbemba D
3 E. Bailly D
5 L. Balerdi D
7 J. Clauss M
21 V. Rongier M
27 J. Veretout M
30 Nuno Tavares M
6 M. Guendouzi F
77 A. Harit F
70 A. Sánchez F
Bench (9)
4 S. Gigot
23 S. Kolašinac
29 I. Kaboré
17 C. Ünder
11 L. Suárez
36 Rubén Blanco
10 D. Payet
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
8 Gerson

Coach: I. Tudor

Tottenham

3-4-3
1 H. Lloris G
15 E. Dier D
34 C. Lenglet D
33 B. Davies D
19 R. Sessegnon M
5 P. Højbjerg M
30 R. Bentancur M
14 I. Perišić M
27 Lucas Moura F
10 H. Kane F
7 Son Heung-Min F
Bench (12)
38 Y. Bissouma
12 Emerson
4 O. Skipp
11 Bryan Gil
42 H. White
40 B. Austin
20 F. Forster
24 D. Spence
25 J. Tanganga
2 M. Doherty
6 D. Sánchez
29 P. Sarr

Coach: A. Conte

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.