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Coupe de France
Referee: A Mercier

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Gobelins 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Vire 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Loon-Plage 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Nimes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Belfort 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Bordeaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Rumilly Vallières 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 La Châtaigneraie 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Châtellerault 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Jura Sud Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Villerupt Thil 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Saint-Estève Perpignan 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Olympique Marcquois 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Avranches 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Thiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Grasse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Boé Bon Encontre 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Bellevue Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Vierzon FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Marnaval 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Limonest 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Wasquehal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Colomiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Marcoussis Nozay 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Aiglon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Onet-le-Château 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Roche Saint-Genest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Pays de Cassel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Feignies-Aulnoye 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Évreux 27 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Stade Pontivy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Stade Béthunois 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Stade Plabennec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Avoine OCC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Alençon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Montauban TG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Orvault SF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Chambéry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Lannion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Reims Sainte-Anne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Grand Santi 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Ergué-Gaberic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Bourges Foot 18 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Lège-Cap-Ferret 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Plouvorn 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 La Tamponnaise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
138 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
139 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
140 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
141 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
142 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
143 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
144 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
157 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
158 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
159 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
169 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
170 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
171 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
172 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.