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LaLiga2
Amorebieta
U T U S U
1–3
Full-time
Lugo
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amorebieta Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 17%
13%
20%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
33%
Both score Ø 70%
73%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

13 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 4
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amorebieta 21. · Lugo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 15 11 1 3 +18 34
2 Eibar 16 9 4 3 +5 31
3 Valladolid 16 8 4 4 +7 28
4 Tenerife 15 8 3 4 +8 27
5 Las Palmas 16 7 6 3 +6 27
6 Ponferradina 15 7 5 3 +6 26
7 Zaragoza 16 4 10 2 +2 22
8 Ibiza 15 5 7 3 +0 22
9 Cartagena 15 7 1 7 -1 22
10 Sp Gijon 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Huesca 16 5 5 6 +1 20
12 Oviedo 15 4 8 3 +1 20
13 Malaga 15 5 5 5 -4 20
14 Girona 15 5 3 7 -2 18
15 Mirandes 16 5 3 8 -4 18
16 Sociedad B 16 4 5 7 -3 17
17 Lugo 15 3 7 5 -2 16
18 Burgos 15 4 4 7 -4 16
19 Fuenlabrada 16 3 7 6 -5 16
20 Leganes 15 3 5 7 -4 14
21 Amorebieta 15 2 7 6 -4 13
22 Alcorcon 16 2 2 12 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U
3,20
B ✓
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.