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Champions League
Referee: N Dabanović
Bayern Munich
S U S T S
5–0
Full-time
Plzen
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — Champions League · 2/8 matches
Win Ø 82%
100%
63%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
0%
75%
Both score Ø 32%
0%
63%
Average goals
2,0
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

70% Possession 30%
21 Shots 10
13 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
3 Corners 1
5 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bayern Munich Plzen
1–0 L. Sané ⚽
J. Musiala
7′
2–0 S. Gnabry ⚽
L. Goretzka
13′
3–0 S. Mané ⚽
21′
29′
🟨 Tomáš Chorý
Jamal Musiala ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
37′
Half-time 3–0
J. Stanišić 🔁
↦ A. Davies
46′
E. Choupo-Moting 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
46′
46′
🔁 V. Jemelka
↦ A. Vlkanova
4–0 L. Sané ⚽
S. Mané
50′
M. Tel 🔁
↦ L. Sané
58′
58′
🔁 E. Jirka
↦ J. Kopic
58′
🔁 F. Bassey
↦ T. Chorý
5–0 E. Choupo-Moting ⚽
L. Goretzka
59′
63′
🔁 M. Tijani
↦ L. Hejda
B. Pavard 🔁
↦ D. Upamecano
72′
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
73′
85′
🔁 V. Pilař
↦ J. Mosquera
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
40 N. Mazraoui D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 M. de Ligt D
19 A. Davies D
8 L. Goretzka M
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 L. Sané M
42 J. Musiala M
17 S. Mané M
7 S. Gnabry F
Bench (6)
44 J. Stanišić
13 E. Choupo-Moting
39 M. Tel
5 B. Pavard
18 M. Sabitzer
26 S. Ulreich

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Plzen

4-2-3-1
13 M. Tvrdoň G
44 L. Holík D
2 L. Hejda D
4 L. Pernica D
24 M. Havel D
23 L. Kalvach M
99 M. N'Diaye M
10 J. Kopic M
88 A. Vlkanova M
18 J. Mosquera M
15 T. Chorý F
Bench (9)
21 V. Jemelka
77 E. Jirka
90 F. Bassey
3 M. Tijani
6 V. Pilař
36 J. Staněk
25 A. Čermák
16 M. Jedlička
9 J. Kliment

Coach: M. Bílek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.