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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Westerlo

T T S S U

3–0

Full-time

RWD Molenbeek

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo RWD Molenbeek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 24%

21%

27%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

71%

67%

Both score Ø 69%

71%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,9

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,91 xG 1,33

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 0

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Westerlo 12. · RWD Molenbeek 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	11	1	1	+20	+14.2	34
2	Cercle Brugge	12	10	0	2	+15	+14.5	30
3	Club Brugge	14	8	3	3	+21	+22.6	27
4	Anderlecht	12	8	3	1	+13	+9.6	27
5	Gent	13	6	5	2	+7	+7.2	23
6	Genk	12	6	4	2	+17	+18.7	22
7	Antwerp	12	5	6	1	+18	+12.4	21
8	Standard	13	4	5	4	-5	-12.4	17
9	RWD Molenbeek	15	4	4	7	-16	-17.8	16
10	Mechelen	12	4	3	5	-1	-3.1	15
11	St Truiden	12	3	5	4	-7	-4.2	14
12	Westerlo	14	3	4	7	-7	-5.7	13
13	Charleroi	15	2	5	8	-11	-10.1	11
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	2	2	9	-11	-5.5	8
15	Eupen	16	2	2	12	-24	-24.3	8
16	Kortrijk	16	2	2	12	-29	-16.0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	6	6	0	0	+11	+9.5	18
2	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+9	+6.8	16
3	Antwerp	7	4	3	0	+16	+11.7	15
4	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+13	+7.2	15
5	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
6	Club Brugge	6	4	2	0	+12	+9.1	14
7	Genk	7	3	3	1	+9	+11.8	12
8	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.1	11
9	Standard	7	3	2	2	+1	-4.9	11
10	RWD Molenbeek	8	3	2	3	-5	-7.0	11
11	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	-2	+0.3	9
12	St Truiden	7	2	2	3	-5	-1.6	8
13	Kortrijk	9	2	2	5	-8	-5.0	8
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	2	1	3	+3	-2.4	7
15	Westerlo	6	2	0	4	-5	-4.7	6
16	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-10	-9.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.0	19
2	Club Brugge	8	4	1	3	+9	+13.4	13
3	Cercle Brugge	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.0	12
4	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
5	Genk	5	3	1	1	+8	+6.9	10
6	Gent	6	2	2	2	+0	+2.3	8
7	Westerlo	8	1	4	3	-2	-1.0	7
8	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
9	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.6	6
10	Standard	6	1	3	2	-6	-7.6	6
11	RWD Molenbeek	7	1	2	4	-11	-10.8	5
12	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
13	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-14	-14.4	4
14	Charleroi	8	0	2	6	-9	-10.4	2
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	1	6	-14	-3.0	1
16	Kortrijk	7	0	0	7	-21	-11.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.