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Serie B

Referee: F Cosso

Perugia

U T S U T

0–1

Full-time

Modena

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 32%

29%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

42%

48%

Both score Ø 49%

42%

55%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 20

0 Shots on target 8

6 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 17. · Modena 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	31	19	6	6	+29	63
2	Genoa	31	17	9	5	+21	60
3	Bari	31	14	11	6	+19	53
4	Sudtirol	31	13	13	5	+6	52
5	Cagliari	31	11	13	7	+9	46
6	Pisa	31	11	12	8	+12	45
7	Reggina	31	14	3	14	+5	45
8	Parma	31	12	8	11	+3	44
9	Palermo	31	10	12	9	+0	42
10	Ternana	31	10	10	11	-7	40
11	Modena	31	11	6	14	-2	39
12	Como	31	9	12	10	-2	39
13	Ascoli	31	10	9	12	-5	39
14	Venezia	31	9	9	13	-7	36
15	Cittadella	31	8	12	11	-11	36
16	Cosenza	31	9	8	14	-21	35
17	Perugia	31	9	7	15	-4	34
18	Spal	32	7	11	14	-9	32
19	Benevento	32	6	11	15	-14	29
20	Brescia	31	6	10	15	-22	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	15	11	2	2	+19	35
2	Genoa	16	9	6	1	+15	33
3	Cagliari	16	9	5	2	+9	32
4	Palermo	15	7	5	3	+7	26
5	Parma	16	8	2	6	+6	26
6	Sudtirol	16	6	8	2	+4	26
7	Ternana	15	7	5	3	+4	26
8	Cosenza	16	7	5	4	+3	26
9	Bari	16	6	7	3	+10	25
10	Pisa	15	7	4	4	+10	25
11	Como	15	7	4	4	+6	25
12	Modena	15	6	5	4	+7	23
13	Reggina	15	7	2	6	+4	23
14	Perugia	15	5	5	5	+1	20
15	Cittadella	15	4	7	4	-3	19
16	Spal	16	4	5	7	-1	17
17	Ascoli	16	4	5	7	-4	17
18	Venezia	16	4	5	7	-5	17
19	Brescia	16	4	5	7	-7	17
20	Benevento	16	3	4	9	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	16	8	4	4	+10	28
2	Bari	15	8	4	3	+9	28
3	Genoa	15	8	3	4	+6	27
4	Sudtirol	15	7	5	3	+2	26
5	Reggina	16	7	1	8	+1	22
6	Ascoli	15	6	4	5	-1	22
7	Pisa	16	4	8	4	+2	20
8	Venezia	15	5	4	6	-2	19
9	Parma	15	4	6	5	-3	18
10	Cittadella	16	4	5	7	-8	17
11	Benevento	16	3	7	6	-4	16
12	Palermo	16	3	7	6	-7	16
13	Modena	16	5	1	10	-9	16
14	Spal	16	3	6	7	-8	15
15	Cagliari	15	2	8	5	+0	14
16	Perugia	16	4	2	10	-5	14
17	Como	16	2	8	6	-8	14
18	Ternana	16	3	5	8	-11	14
19	Brescia	15	2	5	8	-15	11
20	Cosenza	15	2	3	10	-24	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.