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Championship
Referee: J Linington
2–1
Full-time
Sunderland
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
10 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sheffield United 13. · Sunderland 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Blackburn 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Hull 4 2 2 0 +2 8
3 Watford 4 2 2 0 +2 8
4 Millwall 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Preston 4 1 3 0 +1 6
7 Blackpool 4 2 0 2 -1 6
8 Rotherham 3 1 2 0 +4 5
9 Sunderland 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Burnley 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Birmingham 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Swansea 4 1 2 1 -2 5
13 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 +1 4
14 Bristol City 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 QPR 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Norwich 4 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Stoke 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 Wigan 3 0 3 0 +0 3
19 Middlesbrough 4 0 3 1 -1 3
20 Huddersfield 4 1 0 3 -1 3
21 Reading 3 1 0 2 -4 3
22 West Brom 3 0 2 1 -1 2
23 Luton 4 0 2 2 -3 2
24 Coventry 2 0 1 1 -1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Sunderland
31′
🟥 Daniel Neil
1–0 A. Ahmedhodžić
O. Norwood
33′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Lowe
A. Ahmedhodžić
47′
54′
🔁 B. Wright
↦ A. Pritchard
54′
🔁 T. Hume
↦ E. Embleton
54′
🔁 J. Matete
↦ E. Simms
55′
L. Gooch 2–1
R. Stewart
64′
🟨 Luke O'Nien
R. Khadra 🔁
↦ R. Brewster
66′
J. Fleck 🔁
↦ J. McAtee
66′
72′
🟨 Lynden Gooch
O. McBurnie 🔁
↦ I. Ndiaye
74′
86′
🔁 A. Alese
↦ D. Batth
86′
🔁 J. Diamond
↦ J. Clarke
Oliver McBurnie 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Jay Matete
97′
🟨 Bailey Wright
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sheffield United

3-4-1-2
18 W. Foderingham G
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
12 J. Egan D
33 R. Norrington-Davies D
2 G. Baldock M
8 S. Berge M
16 O. Norwood M
13 M. Lowe M
28 J. McAtee F
7 R. Brewster F
29 I. Ndiaye F
Bench (7)
11 R. Khadra
4 J. Fleck
9 O. McBurnie
6 C. Basham
22 T. Doyle
36 D. Jebbison
37 J. Amissah

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Sunderland

3-4-1-2
1 A. Patterson G
13 L. O'Nien D
6 D. Batth D
3 D. Cirkin D
11 L. Gooch M
24 D. Neil M
8 E. Embleton M
20 J. Clarke M
21 A. Pritchard F
9 E. Simms F
14 R. Stewart F
Bench (7)
26 B. Wright
32 T. Hume
27 J. Matete
42 A. Alese
23 J. Diamond
12 A. Bass
10 P. Roberts

Coach: A. Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,59
B
4,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Linington · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.