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Serie B

Perugia

S U U S U

1–1

Full-time

Ternana

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 35%

35%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

24%

47%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

59%

Average goals

1,9

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 1

9 Corners 4

18 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 9. · Ternana 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	18	11	5	2	+14	38
2	Brescia	18	10	4	4	+10	34
3	Cremonese	18	9	5	4	+10	32
4	Lecce	17	8	7	2	+14	31
5	Benevento	17	9	4	4	+13	31
6	Monza	17	8	7	2	+8	31
7	Cittadella	18	8	5	5	+3	29
8	Frosinone	18	6	10	2	+11	28
9	Perugia	17	6	8	3	+3	26
10	Ascoli	18	7	5	6	-2	26
11	Como	18	6	7	5	+3	25
12	Parma	18	5	8	5	+0	23
13	Reggina	18	6	5	7	-8	23
14	Ternana	17	6	4	7	+0	22
15	Spal	18	5	5	8	-4	20
16	Alessandria	18	5	2	11	-10	17
17	Cosenza	18	4	4	10	-14	16
18	Crotone	18	2	5	11	-12	11
19	Pordenone	18	1	5	12	-22	8
20	Vicenza	17	2	1	14	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	8	7	1	0	+10	22
2	Pisa	9	6	3	0	+8	21
3	Lecce	8	5	3	0	+12	18
4	Benevento	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Cittadella	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	Cremonese	9	4	4	1	+5	16
7	Frosinone	10	3	6	1	+5	15
8	Ternana	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Cosenza	9	4	1	4	+0	13
10	Como	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	Brescia	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Perugia	8	3	3	2	+1	12
13	Reggina	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Parma	8	2	4	2	+0	10
15	Crotone	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Alessandria	9	3	1	5	-6	10
17	Spal	9	2	3	4	+0	9
18	Ascoli	9	2	3	4	-5	9
19	Pordenone	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Vicenza	8	0	1	7	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	Pisa	9	5	2	2	+6	17
3	Ascoli	9	5	2	2	+3	17
4	Cremonese	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	Benevento	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Perugia	9	3	5	1	+2	14
7	Frosinone	8	3	4	1	+6	13
8	Lecce	9	3	4	2	+2	13
9	Como	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Parma	10	3	4	3	+0	13
11	Cittadella	9	3	3	3	-3	12
12	Reggina	9	3	3	3	-4	12
13	Spal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
14	Ternana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Monza	9	1	6	2	-2	9
16	Alessandria	9	2	1	6	-4	7
17	Vicenza	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	Cosenza	9	0	3	6	-14	3
19	Pordenone	9	0	2	7	-14	2
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.