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Serie B

Lecce

U U S S U

3–3

Full-time

Ternana

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

46%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

62%

Average goals

2,4

3,2

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

17 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 7

8 Corners 5

20 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 3. · Ternana 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	13	8	3	2	+10	27
2	Pisa	13	7	4	2	+9	25
3	Lecce	13	6	6	1	+11	24
4	Frosinone	13	5	7	1	+8	22
5	Cremonese	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Reggina	13	6	4	3	+3	22
7	Ascoli	13	6	3	4	+2	21
8	Monza	13	5	6	2	+2	21
9	Perugia	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Cittadella	13	6	2	5	+0	20
11	Benevento	13	5	4	4	+5	19
12	Como	13	5	4	4	+3	19
13	Ternana	13	5	2	6	+1	17
14	Parma	13	4	5	4	-1	17
15	Cosenza	13	4	3	6	-6	15
16	Spal	13	3	5	5	+2	14
17	Alessandria	13	3	2	8	-10	11
18	Crotone	14	1	5	8	-12	8
19	Vicenza	14	2	1	11	-14	7
20	Pordenone	13	0	3	10	-20	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Monza	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Lecce	6	4	2	0	+10	14
4	Cosenza	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Cittadella	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Cremonese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Brescia	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Benevento	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Reggina	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Como	6	3	1	2	+3	10
11	Ternana	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	Frosinone	7	2	4	1	+1	10
13	Spal	7	2	3	2	+4	9
14	Parma	6	2	3	1	+1	9
15	Perugia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	-2	7
17	Alessandria	6	2	1	3	-4	7
18	Crotone	8	1	4	3	-5	7
19	Pordenone	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Vicenza	6	0	1	5	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Ascoli	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Frosinone	6	3	3	0	+7	12
4	Perugia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Reggina	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Lecce	7	2	4	1	+1	10
8	Como	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Pisa	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Benevento	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Parma	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Ternana	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Cittadella	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Vicenza	8	2	0	6	-7	6
15	Spal	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Monza	7	0	5	2	-4	5
17	Alessandria	7	1	1	5	-6	4
18	Cosenza	7	0	2	5	-11	2
19	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-7	1
20	Pordenone	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.