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Serie A

Referee: M Serra

Fiorentina

S T S S S

2–2

Full-time

Sassuolo

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,5

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

59%

35%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

76%

82%

Both score Ø 71%

59%

82%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%

23 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 7. · Sassuolo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	18	13	4	1	+33	43
2	Milan	17	12	3	2	+17	39
3	Atalanta	18	11	4	3	+14	37
4	Napoli	17	11	3	3	+21	36
5	Roma	18	10	1	7	+10	31
6	Juventus	18	9	4	5	+8	31
7	Fiorentina	17	10	0	7	+9	30
8	Lazio	18	8	4	6	+3	28
9	Empoli	17	8	2	7	-2	26
10	Bologna	18	7	3	8	-7	24
11	Verona	17	6	5	6	+3	23
12	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+2	23
13	Torino	17	6	4	7	+4	22
14	Udinese	18	4	8	6	-2	20
15	Sampdoria	17	5	3	9	-8	18
16	Venezia	17	4	4	9	-14	16
17	Spezia	17	3	3	11	-21	12
18	Genoa	18	1	7	10	-18	10
19	Cagliari	18	1	7	10	-21	10
20	Salernitana	18	2	2	14	-31	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	6	2	0	+18	20
2	Lazio	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	Napoli	9	6	1	2	+11	19
4	Milan	8	6	1	1	+9	19
5	Roma	9	6	1	2	+5	19
6	Fiorentina	8	6	0	2	+11	18
7	Torino	9	5	2	2	+8	17
8	Verona	9	5	1	3	+6	16
9	Bologna	10	5	1	4	+2	16
10	Juventus	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Atalanta	9	3	3	3	+3	12
12	Sassuolo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Udinese	9	2	5	2	-1	11
14	Empoli	9	3	1	5	-6	10
15	Spezia	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Sampdoria	9	2	2	5	-7	8
18	Cagliari	10	1	4	5	-7	7
19	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-16	4
20	Genoa	8	0	3	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	9	8	1	0	+11	25
2	Inter	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Milan	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Juventus	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	Napoli	8	5	2	1	+10	17
6	Empoli	8	5	1	2	+4	16
7	Roma	9	4	0	5	+5	12
8	Fiorentina	9	4	0	5	-2	12
9	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Sampdoria	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Udinese	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Lazio	9	2	2	5	-9	8
13	Bologna	8	2	2	4	-9	8
14	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-11	8
15	Verona	8	1	4	3	-3	7
16	Genoa	10	1	4	5	-9	7
17	Torino	8	1	2	5	-4	5
18	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-15	4
19	Spezia	9	1	1	7	-19	4
20	Cagliari	8	0	3	5	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.