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Ligue 2

Referee: Geoffrey Kubler

Troyes

S S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Bastia

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

4,0

1,3

Scored

2,7

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

67%

22%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

3,1

1,7

Scored

2,1

0,4

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

10 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 1. · Bastia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	St Etienne	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Pau FC	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Red Star	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Reims	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Nancy	9	3	3	3	-1	12
8	Rodez	9	3	3	3	-3	12
9	Montpellier	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Dunkerque	9	2	4	3	+2	10
11	Le Mans	9	2	4	3	-1	10
12	Clermont	9	2	4	3	-4	10
13	Amiens	9	2	3	4	-2	9
14	Grenoble	9	2	3	4	-2	9
15	Annecy	9	2	3	4	-3	9
16	Boulogne	9	3	0	6	-4	9
17	Laval	9	1	5	3	-4	8
18	Bastia	9	0	4	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Pau FC	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Reims	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Dunkerque	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	Guingamp	5	2	2	1	-2	8
6	St Etienne	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Le Mans	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Grenoble	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Rodez	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Montpellier	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Nancy	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Red Star	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Annecy	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Boulogne	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Bastia	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Amiens	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Laval	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	St Etienne	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Nancy	5	2	2	1	+0	8
5	Amiens	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Rodez	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Boulogne	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Laval	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Guingamp	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Annecy	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Troyes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Reims	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Clermont	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Grenoble	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Le Mans	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Dunkerque	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Bastia	5	0	2	3	-4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.