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Premiership
Referee: Colin Steven
0–5
Full-time
Partick
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ayr Utd Partick
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
100%
80%
Both score Ø 20%
0%
40%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
0,0
2,4
Conceded
3,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,2
This season — Premiership · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
3,0
4,7
Scored
0,0
3,7
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 31 3 3 +75 96
2 Rangers 37 28 5 4 +53 89
3 Aberdeen 37 18 3 16 +1 57
4 Hearts 37 15 8 14 +6 53
5 Hibernian 37 15 6 16 -2 51
6 Motherwell 37 13 8 16 +1 47
7 St Mirren 37 12 10 15 -15 46
8 Livingston 37 13 7 17 -22 46
9 ST Johnstone 37 11 7 19 -20 40
10 Kilmarnock 37 10 7 20 -27 37
11 Ross County 37 9 7 21 -21 34
12 Dundee United 37 8 7 22 -29 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. May -23 Partick – Ayr Utd 3–0

Match report

Ayr Utd Partick
7′
J. McMillan 0–1
Afolabi Akinyemi 🟥
25′
25′
🟨 Aaron Muirhead
27′
S. Tiffoney 0–2
A. Fitzpatrick
Reece McAlear 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–2
A. Murdoch 🔁
↦ S. Ashford
46′
P. Smith 🔁
↦ R. McAlear
46′
54′
S. Tiffoney 0–3
J. McMillan
Nicholas McAllister 🟨
58′
59′
🔁 D. Mullen
↦ S. Tiffoney
59′
🔁 A. Dowds
↦ B. Graham
C. Maguire 🔁
↦ B. Dempsey
62′
J. Mitchell-Lawson 🔁
↦ M. McKenzie
62′
63′
S. Lawless 0–4
66′
🔁 Z. Mackenzie
↦ A. Fitzpatrick
66′
🔁 C. McKinnon
↦ S. Lawless
71′
🔁 L. Hodson
↦ A. Muirhead
88′
K. Holt 0–5
K. Turner
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Ayr Utd

4-2-3-1
21 C. Albinson G
17 N. McAllister D
4 F. Musonda D
5 S. McGinty D
3 P. Reading D
18 R. McAlear M
8 B. Dempsey M
14 J. Mullin M
9 D. Akinyemi M
23 S. Ashford F
22 M. McKenzie F
Bench (9)
6 A. Murdoch
31 P. Smith
77 C. Maguire
11 J. Mitchell-Lawson
10 D. O'Connor
30 F. Bryden
1 A. McAdams
15 A. Kirk
20 M. Hewitt

Coach: L. Bullen

Partick

4-2-3-1
31 D. Mitchell G
2 J. McMillan M
22 A. Muirhead D
5 D. Brownlie D
4 K. Holt M
6 K. Turner M
23 R. Docherty M
11 S. Lawless M
21 A. Fitzpatrick M
7 S. Tiffoney F
9 B. Graham F
Bench (8)
19 D. Mullen
10 A. Dowds
29 Z. Mackenzie
15 C. McKinnon
16 L. Hodson
30 J. Stevenson
1 J. Sneddon
25 B. Owens

Coach: K. Doolan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.