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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Guingamp
U T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Bordeaux
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 43%
36%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
46%
43%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
22 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Bordeaux 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 29 16 12 1 +26 60
2 Metz 29 14 9 6 +18 51
3 Bordeaux 28 14 8 6 +16 50
4 Sochaux 29 14 7 8 +20 49
5 Bastia 29 14 6 9 +3 48
6 Caen 29 12 10 7 +6 46
7 Grenoble 29 12 8 9 +4 44
8 Paris FC 29 11 7 11 +0 40
9 St Etienne 29 10 9 10 +0 39
10 Quevilly Rouen 29 10 9 10 +0 39
11 Guingamp 28 10 8 10 -1 38
12 Amiens 29 10 7 12 -6 37
13 Rodez 29 8 10 11 -7 34
14 Valenciennes 29 7 12 10 -7 33
15 Annecy 29 8 9 12 -8 33
16 Pau FC 29 8 9 12 -10 33
17 Laval 29 9 4 16 -11 31
18 Nimes 29 8 5 16 -11 29
19 Dijon 29 6 8 15 -11 26
20 Niort 29 7 5 17 -21 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Bordeaux
21′
Fransérgio 0–1
J. Maja
Half-time 0–1
Jules Gaudin 🟨
54′
58′
🟨 Stian Gregersen
60′
🟨 Yoann Barbet
G. Courtet 🔁
↦ H. Picard
71′
71′
🔁 A. Badji
↦ J. Maja
71′
🔁 Z. Davitashvili
↦ A. Pitu
74′
🟨 Malcom Bokele
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
80′
M. Barthelmé 🔁
↦ T. Muyumba
80′
W. Tchimbembé 🔁
↦ D. Louiserre
86′
V. Manceau 🔁
↦ M. Sivis
86′
86′
🔁 T. Lacoux
↦ Fransérgio
86′
🔁 C. Michelin
↦ D. Bakwa
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
19 F. Eboa Eboa D
25 J. Gaudin D
29 J. Livolant M
6 T. Muyumba M
4 D. Louiserre M
20 H. Picard M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
18 G. Courtet
17 J. Siwe
28 M. Barthelmé
12 W. Tchimbembé
15 V. Manceau
26 M. Riou
30 D. Youfeigane

Coach: S. Dumont

Bordeaux

4-3-3
16 G. Poussin G
4 M. Bokele D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 Y. Barbet D
14 V. N'Simba D
13 Fransérgio M
6 D. Ignatenko M
23 J. Mwanga M
7 D. Bakwa F
11 J. Maja F
80 A. Pitu F
Bench (7)
10 A. Badji
30 Z. Davitashvili
27 T. Lacoux
34 C. Michelin
17 L. Pirringuel
31 R. Strączek
22 L. Delaurier-Chaubet

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,23
U
3,17
B ✓
2,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.