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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
Degerfors
U T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Kalmar
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
13%
47%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
47%
27%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
40%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
0,7
1,1
Conceded
2,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

26% Possession 74%
8 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
5 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Degerfors 16. · Kalmar 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 16 10 3 3 +24 33
2 Hacken 15 9 4 2 +12 31
3 AIK 16 9 4 3 +5 31
4 Hammarby 15 9 3 3 +19 30
5 Malmo FF 16 9 3 4 +9 30
6 Kalmar 15 7 3 5 +5 24
7 Goteborg 15 7 3 5 +3 24
8 Mjallby 15 6 5 4 +2 23
9 Sirius 15 6 3 6 -5 21
10 Elfsborg 15 5 5 5 +7 20
11 Norrkoping 15 4 4 7 -3 16
12 Varberg 15 4 3 8 -14 15
13 Varnamo 15 3 4 8 -11 13
14 Helsingborg 16 2 4 10 -11 10
15 Sundsvall 15 3 1 11 -22 10
16 Degerfors 15 2 2 11 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Degerfors Kalmar
-5′
🟨 Simon Skrabb
1–0 R. Örqvist
D. Vukojević
6′
26′
🟨 Romarinho
45′
O. Berg 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Vukojević
R. Örqvist
63′
64′
🔁 P. Diouf
↦ N. Shamoun
68′
🔁 N. Girmai
↦ S. Skrabb
D. Campos 🔁
↦ D. Vukojević
73′
Adam Carlen 🟨
74′
76′
🟨 Nahom Girmai
J. Bertilsson 🔁
↦ R. Örqvist
85′
A. Rajamohan 🔁
↦ J. Salmon
85′
85′
🔁 I. Bjerkebo
↦ A. Lindahl
85′
🔁 E. Israelsson
↦ Romário
D. Krezic 🔁
↦ E. Bouzaiene
90′
A. Mörfelt 🔁
↦ O. Faraj
91′
Alfie Whiteman 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Degerfors

3-4-1-2
1 A. Whiteman G
2 G. Granath D
15 G. Lagerbielke D
7 S. Ohlsson D
16 R. Örqvist F
12 E. Lindell M
22 J. Salmon M
20 E. Bouzaiene M
21 A. Carlén M
10 D. Vukojević F
19 O. Faraj F
Bench (7)
8 D. Campos
9 J. Bertilsson
23 A. Rajamohan
18 A. Mörfelt
14 D. Krezic
4 S. Sabetkar
25 J. Gal

Coach: T. Solberg

Kalmar

4-2-3-1
1 Ricardo Friedrich G
39 L. Sætra D
6 R. Sjöstedt D
3 D. Ólafsson D
2 A. Lindahl D
29 Romário M
11 S. Skrabb M
20 O. Berg M
12 S. Nanasi M
17 C. Gustafsson M
14 N. Shamoun F
Bench (7)
27 P. Diouf
22 N. Girmai
18 I. Bjerkebo
4 E. Israelsson
32 C. Andersson
23 J. Stenmark
7 K. Jensen

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.