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Ligue 2
Caen
T S S T U
1–0
Full-time
Ajaccio
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 1
17 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 11. · Ajaccio 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Guingamp 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Grenoble 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Auxerre 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Chambly 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Pau FC 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,58
U
2,83
B
3,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,66
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.