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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

S T T S S

0–1

Full-time

Chateauroux

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Chateauroux

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

52%

24%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 46%

43%

48%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

16 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

8 Corners 2

13 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 3. · Chateauroux 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	21	14	3	4	+17	45
2	Lens	21	12	6	3	+15	42
3	Ajaccio	21	11	6	4	+11	39
4	Troyes	21	12	2	7	+4	38
5	Le Havre	21	9	8	4	+11	35
6	Clermont	21	9	7	5	+3	34
7	Valenciennes	21	9	6	6	+4	33
8	Nancy	21	6	12	3	+4	30
9	Guingamp	21	7	7	7	+6	28
10	Sochaux	21	7	7	7	+4	28
11	Grenoble	21	5	12	4	+0	27
12	Auxerre	21	6	8	7	+2	26
13	Chambly	21	6	6	9	-9	24
14	Rodez	21	6	4	11	-4	22
15	Chateauroux	21	5	7	9	-12	22
16	Caen	21	4	9	8	-6	21
17	Le Mans	21	6	2	13	-11	20
18	Niort	21	4	6	11	-9	18
19	Paris FC	21	4	5	12	-18	17
20	Orleans	21	3	7	11	-12	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	11	8	1	2	+10	25
2	Lens	10	7	2	1	+11	23
3	Nancy	11	6	5	0	+9	23
4	Valenciennes	11	6	3	2	+6	21
5	Sochaux	11	5	4	2	+9	19
6	Troyes	10	6	0	4	+0	18
7	Le Havre	10	4	5	1	+8	17
8	Auxerre	11	4	5	2	+5	17
9	Rodez	10	5	1	4	+4	16
10	Ajaccio	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Clermont	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Guingamp	11	3	5	3	+4	14
13	Grenoble	10	2	7	1	+1	13
14	Le Mans	11	4	1	6	-2	13
15	Chambly	11	3	3	5	-8	12
16	Caen	11	2	5	4	-5	11
17	Niort	10	2	3	5	-3	9
18	Orleans	11	2	2	7	-9	8
19	Paris FC	10	2	2	6	-11	8
20	Chateauroux	10	1	4	5	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	11	7	2	2	+7	23
2	Lorient	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Troyes	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Lens	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Clermont	11	5	4	2	+1	19
6	Le Havre	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Chateauroux	11	4	3	4	-4	15
8	Guingamp	10	4	2	4	+2	14
9	Grenoble	11	3	5	3	-1	14
10	Chambly	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Valenciennes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Caen	10	2	4	4	-1	10
13	Auxerre	10	2	3	5	-3	9
14	Sochaux	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Niort	11	2	3	6	-6	9
16	Paris FC	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Orleans	10	1	5	4	-3	8
18	Nancy	10	0	7	3	-5	7
19	Le Mans	10	2	1	7	-9	7
20	Rodez	11	1	3	7	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.