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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Michael Bacher
Schalke 04
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Darmstadt
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
78%
56%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 2. · Darmstadt 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elversberg 9 7 1 1 +16 -2.9 22
2 Schalke 04 9 7 0 2 +8 +0.8 21
3 Paderborn 9 6 2 1 +7 +2.8 20
4 Darmstadt 9 5 3 1 +8 +0.9 18
5 Kaiserslautern 9 6 0 3 +7 -0.2 18
6 Hannover 9 5 2 2 +2 +2.5 17
7 Karlsruhe 9 4 3 2 +1 +0.3 15
8 Hertha 9 3 2 4 +1 -1.9 11
9 Holstein Kiel 9 3 2 4 +1 +0.1 11
10 Preußen Münster 9 3 2 4 -2 -2.5 11
11 Bielefeld 9 3 1 5 +1 +1.7 10
12 Braunschweig 9 3 1 5 -6 -1.1 10
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 3 1 5 -8 -3.5 10
14 Greuther Furth 9 3 1 5 -9 -0.2 10
15 Nurnberg 9 2 2 5 -5 +0.1 8
16 Dresden 9 1 4 4 -4 +1.8 7
17 Bochum 9 2 0 7 -6 +1.8 6
18 Magdeburg 9 1 1 7 -12 -0.5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Darmstadt
1–0 M. Sylla
S. El-Faouzi
9′
Janik Bachmann 🟨
27′
31′
🟨 Aleksandar Vukotić
Adrian Gantenbein 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
F. Porath 🔁
↦ A. Gantenbein
63′
63′
🔁 M. Papela
↦ J. Boetius
C. Gomis 🔁
↦ J. Bachmann
64′
64′
🔁 M. Bader
↦ B. Bialek
64′
🔁 P. Will
↦ H. Akiyama
F. Sanchez 🔁
↦ V. Becker
81′
81′
🔁 F. Lakenmacher
↦ A. Vukotic
81′
🔁 F. Holland
↦ M. Richter
M. Wallentowitz 🔁
85′
Mika Wallentowitz 🟨
93′
Soufiane El-Faouzi 🟨
95′
Hasan Kuruçay 🟨
99′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
1 L. Karius G
43 M. Ayhan D
25 N. Katic D
4 H. Kurucay D
17 A. Gantenbein M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
6 R. Schallenberg M
33 V. Becker M
14 J. Bachmann F
19 K. Karaman F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
28 J. Heekeren
7 C. Gomis
37 M. Gruger
41 H. Matriciani
27 F. Porath
2 F. Sanchez
35 M. Wallentowitz
8 A. Younes
16 M. Zalazar

Coach: Miron Muslić

Darmstadt

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schuhen G
6 P. Pfeiffer D
20 A. Vukotic D
5 M. Maglica D
34 K. Corredor M
10 J. Boetius M
16 H. Akiyama M
8 L. Marseiler M
23 M. Richter F
9 F. Hornby F
27 B. Bialek F
Bench (9)
24 B. Borner
3 L. Klassen
19 F. Lakenmacher
21 M. Papela
22 S. Guler
26 M. Bader
32 F. Holland
44 Y. Furukawa
28 P. Will

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,45
B
3,10
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.