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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Tom Bauer
Schalke 04
S S S T S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
4,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
4,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 5. · Greuther Furth 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Darmstadt 6 4 1 1 +6 +0.9 13
2 Elversberg 6 4 1 1 +5 -2.9 13
3 Hannover 6 4 1 1 +3 +2.5 13
4 Kaiserslautern 6 4 0 2 +7 -0.2 12
5 Schalke 04 6 4 0 2 +3 +0.8 12
6 Paderborn 6 3 2 1 +3 +2.8 11
7 Karlsruhe 6 3 2 1 +1 +0.3 11
8 Bielefeld 6 3 1 2 +5 +1.7 10
9 Holstein Kiel 6 3 0 3 +2 +0.1 9
10 Greuther Furth 6 3 0 3 -2 -0.2 9
11 Preußen Münster 6 2 1 3 -3 -2.5 7
12 Braunschweig 6 2 1 3 -4 -1.1 7
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 2 1 3 -7 -3.5 7
14 Dresden 6 1 2 3 -2 +1.8 5
15 Hertha 6 1 2 3 -2 -1.9 5
16 Nurnberg 6 1 1 4 -3 +0.1 4
17 Bochum 6 1 0 5 -5 +1.8 3
18 Magdeburg 6 1 0 5 -7 -0.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Greuther Furth
M. Ayhan 🔁
↦ T. Becker
9′
25′
🟨 Jannik Dehm
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Philipp Ziereis
62′
🔁 R. Munz
↦ B. Bjarnason
62′
🔁 J. Consbruch
↦ A. Keller
62′
🔁 J. Green
↦ M. Olesen
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ C. Gomis
71′
F. Porath 🔁
↦ A. Gantenbein
71′
1–0 F. Porath
77′
84′
🔁 F. Higl
↦ B. Hrgota
84′
🔁 O. Sillah
↦ J. Dehm
F. Sanchez 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
86′
J. Bachmann 🔁
87′
Nikola Katić 🟨
92′
Vitalie Becker 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
1 L. Karius G
5 T. Becker D
25 N. Katic D
4 H. Kurucay D
17 A. Gantenbein M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
6 R. Schallenberg M
33 V. Becker M
7 C. Gomis F
19 K. Karaman F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
28 J. Heekeren
18 C. Antwi-Adjei
43 M. Ayhan
14 J. Bachmann
11 B. Lasme
27 F. Porath
2 F. Sanchez
8 A. Younes
16 M. Zalazar

Coach: Miron Muslić

Greuther Furth

4-2-3-1
26 P. Boevink G
23 J. Dehm D
4 P. Ziereis D
25 B. Bjarnason D
27 G. Itter D
8 M. Olesen M
24 M. John M
30 F. Klaus M
10 B. Hrgota M
16 A. Keller M
9 N. Futkeu F
Bench (9)
43 S. Prufrock
2 L. Reich
5 R. Munz
17 N. Konig
14 J. Consbruch
37 J. Green
7 D. Srbeny
18 F. Higl
42 O. Sillah

Coach: Thomas Kleine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,75
B
3,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.