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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Legia
S T U S T
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
44%
52%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
56%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
68%
40%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,05 xG 0,66
57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 5. · Pogon Szczecin 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Rakow 25 15 7 3 +21 +10.6 52
2 Jagiellonia 25 15 6 4 +17 +2.6 51
3 Lech Poznan 25 16 2 7 +26 +10.0 50
4 Pogon Szczecin 25 13 4 8 +13 +11.0 43
5 Legia 25 11 7 7 +13 +9.5 40
6 Gornik Zabrze 25 12 4 9 +7 +3.9 40
7 Cracovia 25 10 8 7 +5 -5.2 38
8 Motor Lublin 25 10 6 9 -9 -1.0 36
9 GKS Katowice 25 9 6 10 +2 +2.7 33
10 Piast Gliwice 26 8 9 9 -2 -2.5 33
11 Korona Kielce 25 8 9 8 -7 -1.4 33
12 Widzew Lodz 26 9 6 11 -9 -5.2 33
13 Radomiak Radom 25 9 4 12 -5 +0.7 31
14 Puszcza 25 6 7 12 -11 -12.7 25
15 Stal Mielec 25 6 5 14 -12 +1.5 23
16 Zaglebie 25 6 5 14 -17 -7.3 23
17 Lechia Gdansk 25 5 6 14 -18 -15.3 21
18 Slask Wroclaw 25 3 9 13 -14 -2.0 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Pogon Szczecin
21′
🟨 Adrian Przyborek
Steve Kapuadi 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Wędrychowski
↦ A. Przyborek
W. Urbański 🔁
↦ Luquinhas
63′
V. Bichakhchyan 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
63′
73′
🔁 K. Smoliński
↦ F. Ulvestad
76′
🔁 W. Lisowski
↦ D. Keramitsis
I. Shkurin 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
81′
83′
🟨 Kamil Grosicki
84′
🔁 K. Łukasiak
↦ João Gamboa
84′
🔁 O. Korczakowski
↦ K. Grosicki
Juergen Elitim 🟨
90′
93′
🟨 Leonardo Koutris
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Legia

4-2-3-1
1 K. Tobiasz G
13 P. Wszołek D
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 Rúben Vinagre D
67 B. Kapustka M
22 J. Elitim M
11 K. Chodyna M
25 R. Morishita M
82 Luquinhas M
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (9)
53 W. Urbański
21 V. Bichakhchyan
17 I. Shkurin
8 R. Augustyniak
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
23 P. Kun
77 V. Kovačević
24 J. Ziółkowski
6 M. Oyedele

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Pogon Szczecin

4-1-4-1
77 V. Cojocaru G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
13 D. Keramitsis D
4 Léo Borges D
32 L. Koútris D
21 João Gamboa M
10 A. Przyborek M
8 F. Ulvestad M
7 R. Kurzawa M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 E. Koulouris F
Bench (9)
15 M. Wędrychowski
61 K. Smoliński
25 W. Lisowski
19 K. Łukasiak
27 O. Korczakowski
6 Luizão
17 J. Lis
51 P. Paryzek
31 K. Kamiński

Coach: R. Kolendowicz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myć · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.