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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Amorebieta
S T S S U
3–1
Full-time
Ferrol
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amorebieta Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
39%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
27%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
39%
52%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amorebieta 21. · Ferrol 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 33 17 9 7 +26 60
2 Eibar 33 16 7 10 +16 55
3 Espanol 33 14 12 7 +14 54
4 Santander 33 15 8 10 +7 53
5 Elche 33 15 8 10 +6 53
6 Valladolid 33 15 7 11 +7 52
7 Oviedo 33 13 12 8 +13 51
8 Ferrol 33 13 12 8 +3 51
9 Burgos 33 14 8 11 -1 50
10 Sp Gijon 33 13 10 10 +6 49
11 Levante 33 11 15 7 +2 48
12 Tenerife 33 11 9 13 -4 42
13 Eldense 33 10 12 11 -6 42
14 Huesca 33 9 14 10 +6 41
15 Zaragoza 33 10 11 12 +1 41
16 Cartagena 33 10 9 14 -11 39
17 Mirandes 33 9 10 14 -8 37
18 Alcorcon 33 8 10 15 -19 34
19 Albacete 33 7 12 14 -10 33
20 Andorra 33 8 8 17 -15 32
21 Amorebieta 33 7 10 16 -13 31
22 Villarreal B 33 7 9 17 -20 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Ferrol – Amorebieta 1–0

Match report

Amorebieta Ferrol
1–0 Félix Garreta
17′
2–0 Josué Dorrio
Eneko Jauregi
33′
Half-time 2–0
54′
🔁 Sabin Merino
↦ Nacho Sánchez
55′
🔁 Manu Justo
↦ Álex López
Àlex Carbonell 🔁
↦ Erik Morán
64′
R. Edwards 🔁
↦ Jon Morcillo
64′
64′
🔁 Brais Martínez
↦ Moi Delgado
Iker Unzueta 🔁
↦ Eneko Jauregi
74′
80′
🟨 David Castro
3–0 Iker Unzueta
82′
85′
Jon García 3–1
Héber Pena
J. Yriarte 🔁
↦ Josué Dorrio
86′
Rayco Rodríguez 🔁
↦ K. Sibo
86′
Alvaro Nunez 🟨
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Amorebieta

4-4-2
13 Jon Mikel G
2 Jorge Mier D
3 Xabier Etxeita D
28 Félix Garreta D
16 Daniel Lasure D
15 Álvaro Núñez M
8 Erik Morán M
20 K. Sibo M
22 Jon Morcillo M
7 Josué Dorrio F
9 Eneko Jauregi F
Bench (10)
21 Àlex Carbonell
10 R. Edwards
23 Iker Unzueta
6 J. Yriarte
17 Rayco Rodríguez
19 J. Locadia
14 Eraso
1 Unai Marino
11 Iker Seguín
30 Pablo Cuñat

Coach: Jandro Castro

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Ander Cantero G
24 Sergio Cubero D
4 Jon García D
15 David Castro D
21 Moi Delgado D
8 Álex López M
6 Jesús Bernal M
11 Nacho Sánchez M
22 Iker Losada M
7 Héber Pena M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (10)
19 Sabin Merino
9 Manu Justo
18 Brais Martínez
16 Fran Manzanara
1 G. Gazzaniga
13 Emilio Bernad
17 Chuca
5 Enrique Clemente
12 Álex Martín
2 Julián Delmás

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,98
U
2,80
B
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,74
U2,5
1,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.