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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Elche
S S S T T
0–2
Full-time
Oviedo
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 42%
45%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
27%
36%
Both score Ø 41%
33%
48%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
21 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 5. · Oviedo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 33 17 9 7 +26 60
2 Eibar 33 16 7 10 +16 55
3 Espanol 33 14 12 7 +14 54
4 Santander 33 15 8 10 +7 53
5 Elche 33 15 8 10 +6 53
6 Valladolid 33 15 7 11 +7 52
7 Oviedo 33 13 12 8 +13 51
8 Ferrol 33 13 12 8 +3 51
9 Burgos 33 14 8 11 -1 50
10 Sp Gijon 33 13 10 10 +6 49
11 Levante 33 11 15 7 +2 48
12 Tenerife 33 11 9 13 -4 42
13 Eldense 33 10 12 11 -6 42
14 Huesca 33 9 14 10 +6 41
15 Zaragoza 33 10 11 12 +1 41
16 Cartagena 33 10 9 14 -11 39
17 Mirandes 33 9 10 14 -8 37
18 Alcorcon 33 8 10 15 -19 34
19 Albacete 33 7 12 14 -10 33
20 Andorra 33 8 8 17 -15 32
21 Amorebieta 33 7 10 16 -13 31
22 Villarreal B 33 7 9 17 -20 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Oviedo
14′
S. Colombatto 0–1
17′
🟨 Masca
Half-time 0–1
Borja Garcés 🔁
↦ Mourad
46′
Sergio Bermejo 🔁
↦ R. Núñez
51′
Sergio Bermejo 🟨
56′
Arnau Puigmal 🔁
↦ Aleix Febas
59′
59′
🔁 Jimmy
↦ Sebas Moyano
66′
🟨 Abel Bretones
74′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ Alemão
74′
🔁 Paulino de la Fuente
↦ Masca
77′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
Rodrigo Mendoza 🔁
↦ Mario Gaspar
83′
Manu Nieto 🔁
↦ N. Fernández Mercau
83′
86′
🟨 Dani Calvo
88′
🟨 Leo Román
90′
🔁 Lucas Ahijado
↦ Jaime Seoane
90′
🔁 S. Homenchenko
↦ S. Colombatto
Rodrigo Mendoza 🟨
92′
93′
Paulino de la Fuente 0–2
Lucas Ahijado
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Elche

3-5-2
13 M. Dituro G
24 Sergio Carreira D
5 John Donald D
23 Carlos Clerc D
37 R. Núñez M
2 Mario Gaspar M
21 N. Castro M
14 Aleix Febas M
11 Tete Morente M
22 N. Fernández Mercau F
19 Mourad F
Bench (11)
18 Borja Garcés
9 Sergio Bermejo
8 Arnau Puigmal
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
10 Manu Nieto
1 Miguel San Román
35 David López
3 J. Méndez
12 José Salinas
4 Diego González
20 Cristian Salvador

Coach: S. Beccacece

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
31 Leo Román G
7 Viti Rozada D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
5 Luismi M
11 S. Colombatto M
20 Masca M
16 Jaime Seoane M
17 Sebas Moyano M
14 Alemão F
Bench (9)
6 Jimmy
19 Álex Millán
18 Paulino de la Fuente
24 Lucas Ahijado
13 S. Homenchenko
21 Carlos Pomares
10 Camarasa
1 Q. Braat
25 Borja Sánchez

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
U
3,14
B ✓
4,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,34
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.