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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Kampka

Holstein Kiel

S T T T S

3–4

Full-time

St Pauli

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 41%

34%

47%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

72%

53%

Both score Ø 61%

75%

47%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 9. · St Pauli 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	32	19	7	6	+20	64
2	Heidenheim	32	17	10	5	+29	61
3	Hamburg	32	18	6	8	+23	60
4	Paderborn	32	16	6	10	+25	54
5	St Pauli	32	15	9	8	+15	54
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	32	16	6	10	+14	54
7	Kaiserslautern	32	11	12	9	+4	45
8	Hannover	32	12	7	13	-1	43
9	Holstein Kiel	32	11	10	11	-6	43
10	Karlsruhe	32	12	6	14	+1	42
11	Magdeburg	32	11	7	14	-10	40
12	Greuther Furth	32	9	11	12	-6	38
13	Hansa Rostock	32	11	4	17	-17	37
14	Braunschweig	32	9	9	14	-15	36
15	Nurnberg	32	9	8	15	-18	35
16	Bielefeld	32	9	6	17	-8	33
17	Regensburg	32	7	7	18	-24	28
18	Sandhausen	32	7	7	18	-26	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	16	11	4	1	+24	37
2	Paderborn	16	12	0	4	+27	36
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	11	3	2	+19	36
4	Darmstadt	16	10	5	1	+13	35
5	Hamburg	16	10	3	3	+17	33
6	St Pauli	16	9	6	1	+13	33
7	Greuther Furth	16	7	7	2	+5	28
8	Karlsruhe	16	8	3	5	+5	27
9	Hannover	16	8	3	5	+5	27
10	Kaiserslautern	16	6	6	4	+3	24
11	Braunschweig	16	7	3	6	+2	24
12	Nurnberg	16	7	3	6	+1	24
13	Holstein Kiel	16	6	4	6	+1	22
14	Magdeburg	16	5	4	7	-3	19
15	Regensburg	16	4	7	5	-10	19
16	Bielefeld	16	5	3	8	-1	18
17	Hansa Rostock	16	5	1	10	-8	16
18	Sandhausen	16	4	4	8	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	16	9	2	5	+7	29
2	Hamburg	16	8	3	5	+6	27
3	Heidenheim	16	6	6	4	+5	24
4	St Pauli	16	6	3	7	+2	21
5	Kaiserslautern	16	5	6	5	+1	21
6	Magdeburg	16	6	3	7	-7	21
7	Holstein Kiel	16	5	6	5	-7	21
8	Hansa Rostock	16	6	3	7	-9	21
9	Paderborn	16	4	6	6	-2	18
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	3	8	-5	18
11	Hannover	16	4	4	8	-6	16
12	Karlsruhe	16	4	3	9	-4	15
13	Bielefeld	16	4	3	9	-7	15
14	Sandhausen	16	3	3	10	-12	12
15	Braunschweig	16	2	6	8	-17	12
16	Nurnberg	16	2	5	9	-19	11
17	Greuther Furth	16	2	4	10	-11	10
18	Regensburg	16	3	0	13	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.