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Süper Lig
Referee: E Özdamar
Karagumruk
T S S U T
3–1
Full-time
Buyuksehyr
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Buyuksehyr
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 29%
29%
29%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 9. · Buyuksehyr 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 7 5 1 1 +5 16
2 Trabzonspor 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Altay 7 5 0 2 +5 15
4 Besiktas 7 4 2 1 +7 14
5 Hatayspor 7 4 1 2 +8 13
6 Konyaspor 7 3 4 0 +4 13
7 Alanyaspor 7 4 1 2 -3 13
8 Kayserispor 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Karagumruk 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Galatasaray 7 3 2 2 +0 11
11 Sivasspor 7 2 3 2 +3 9
12 Ad. Demirspor 7 2 3 2 +1 9
13 Antalyaspor 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Buyuksehyr 7 2 0 5 +0 6
16 Kasimpasa 7 1 3 3 -3 6
17 Yeni Malatyaspor 7 2 0 5 -7 6
18 Goztep 7 1 2 4 -4 5
19 Giresunspor 7 0 2 5 -7 2
20 Rizespor 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Buyuksehyr
1–0 A. Bertolacci ⚽
A. Pešić
19′
2–0 A. Bertolacci ⚽
A. Musa
30′
35′
🟨 Lucas Lima
3–0 J. Balkovec ⚽
L. Biglia
37′
Half-time 3–0
E. Öztümer 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
60′
64′
🟨 Carlos Ponck
F. Borini 🔁
↦ Y. Karamoh
68′
A. Ugur 🔁
↦ A. Bertolacci
68′
70′
🔁 D. Aleksić
↦ E. Višća
70′
🔁 A. Çiçek
↦ S. Okaka
70′
🔁 P. Žulj
↦ Ponck
71′
🔁 N. Chadli
↦ D. Türüç
83′
🟨 Mahmut Tekdemir
K. Frei 🔁
↦ A. Musa
84′
T. Torun 🔁
↦ A. Pešić
84′
84′
⚽ D. Aleksić 3–1
A. Çiçek
88′
🔁 E. Kaplan
↦ M. Tekdemir
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
87 E. Zukanović D
29 J. Balkovec D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
6 L. Biglia M
10 J. Durmaz M
91 A. Bertolacci M
72 A. Pešić F
7 A. Musa M
92 Y. Karamoh M
Bench (10)
8 E. Öztümer
16 F. Borini
77 A. Ugur
11 K. Frei
20 T. Torun
9 E. Mor
37 Ö. Ersoy
27 S. Ahmetoğlu
14 E. Tatlı
1 Y. Aygün

Coach: A. Canel

Buyuksehyr

4-1-4-1
1 V. Babacan G
60 Lucas Lima D
26 Ponck D
5 Léo Duarte D
4 R. Tagir D
21 M. Tekdemir M
7 E. Višća M
23 D. Türüç M
10 B. Özcan M
55 Y. Ndayishimiye M
77 S. Okaka F
Bench (10)
8 D. Aleksić
99 A. Çiçek
32 P. Žulj
11 N. Chadli
37 E. Kaplan
6 A. Epureanu
3 H. Kaldırım
16 M. Şengezer
53 M. Yazıcı
98 D. Dilmen

Coach: A. Kocaman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,22
U
3,44
B
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

E Özdamar · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.