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Championship
Referee: L Doughty
Stoke
U S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Barnsley
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 5. · Barnsley 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 8 5 3 0 +8 18
2 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0 +7 15
3 Fulham 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Huddersfield 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Stoke 6 4 1 1 +2 13
6 QPR 7 3 3 1 +5 12
7 Cardiff 7 3 3 1 +4 12
8 Blackburn 7 3 3 1 +3 12
9 Coventry 6 4 0 2 +2 12
10 Birmingham 6 3 2 1 +6 11
11 Luton 7 3 2 2 +1 11
12 Preston 8 3 2 3 -1 11
13 Reading 8 3 1 4 -2 10
14 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 +2 9
15 Bristol City 6 2 2 2 +0 8
16 Derby 8 1 4 3 -3 7
17 Millwall 6 1 3 2 -2 6
18 Middlesbrough 6 1 3 2 -2 6
19 Barnsley 6 1 3 2 -3 6
20 Swansea 6 1 2 3 -4 5
21 Hull 7 1 2 4 -5 5
22 Blackpool 7 1 2 4 -6 5
23 Peterboro 7 1 1 5 -10 4
24 Peterborough 7 1 1 5 -10 4
25 Nott'm Forest 6 0 1 5 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Barnsley
1–0 S. Surridge
17′
20′
🟨 Callum Brittain
38′
C. Woodrow 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 V. Adeboyejo
↦ A. Leya
46′
🔁 C. Gomes
↦ R. Palmer
47′
🟨 Bradley Collins
48′
🟨 Michał Helik
S. Clucas 🔁
↦ J. Allen
73′
A. Sima 🔁
↦ J. Brown
76′
Leo Østigård 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 W. Hondermarck
↦ T. Sibbick
82′
🟨 Victor Adeboyejo
Tommy Smith 🟥
85′
A. Doughty 🔁
↦ S. Surridge
86′
93′
🟨 William Hondermarck
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stoke

3-5-2
12 J. Bursik G
2 T. Smith M
36 H. Souttar D
19 L. Østigård D
14 J. Tymon M
16 B. Wilmot D
8 M. Vrančić M
4 J. Allen M
28 R. Sawyers M
22 S. Surridge F
18 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
7 S. Clucas
27 A. Sima
11 A. Doughty
23 T. Ince
1 A. Davies
6 D. Batth
15 J. Thompson

Coach: M. O'Neill

Barnsley

3-4-2-1
40 B. Collins G
30 M. Helik D
24 A. Halme D
7 C. Brittain M
20 T. Sibbick M
28 D. Frieser F
15 J. Moon D
21 R. Palmer M
9 C. Woodrow F
11 A. Leya F
4 C. Styles M
Bench (7)
29 V. Adeboyejo
17 C. Gomes
23 W. Hondermarck
1 J. Walton
22 C. Oduor
32 J. Sraha
44 D. Cole

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,80
U ✓
3,49
B
4,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.