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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
S T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Valladolid
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
71%
43%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
43%
14%
Both score Ø 22%
29%
14%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ponferradina 3. · Valladolid 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 7 5 1 1 +4 16
2 Almeria 7 5 0 2 +9 15
3 Ponferradina 7 5 0 2 +5 15
4 Ibiza 7 2 5 0 +3 11
5 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Eibar 7 3 2 2 +0 11
7 Huesca 7 3 1 3 +3 10
8 Oviedo 7 2 4 1 +2 10
9 Fuenlabrada 7 2 4 1 +2 10
10 Mirandes 7 3 1 3 +1 10
11 Las Palmas 7 2 4 1 +0 10
12 Valladolid 7 3 1 3 +0 10
13 Cartagena 7 3 0 4 -4 9
14 Leganes 7 2 2 3 -1 8
15 Girona 7 2 2 3 -1 8
16 Malaga 7 2 2 3 -4 8
17 Lugo 7 1 4 2 -2 7
18 Zaragoza 7 1 4 2 -2 7
19 Burgos 7 1 3 3 -1 6
20 Sociedad B 7 1 3 3 -3 6
21 Amorebieta 7 1 3 3 -4 6
22 Alcorcon 7 1 0 6 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,48
U ✓
3,13
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.