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Championship

Referee: K Friend

West Brom

S S S S U

0–0

Full-time

Derby

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Derby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Championship · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

71%

14%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

29%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,9

1,9

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

25 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 1. · Derby 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Bournemouth	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Fulham	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Huddersfield	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Stoke	6	4	1	1	+2	13
6	QPR	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	Cardiff	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Blackburn	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Coventry	6	4	0	2	+2	12
10	Birmingham	6	3	2	1	+6	11
11	Luton	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Preston	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Sheffield United	8	2	3	3	+2	9
14	Bristol City	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Reading	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Millwall	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	Middlesbrough	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Barnsley	6	1	3	2	-3	6
19	Derby	7	1	3	3	-3	6
20	Swansea	6	1	2	3	-4	5
21	Hull	7	1	2	4	-5	5
22	Blackpool	7	1	2	4	-6	5
23	Peterborough	6	1	1	4	-8	4
24	Peterboro	7	1	1	5	-10	4
25	Nott'm Forest	6	0	1	5	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Stoke	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Preston	4	3	0	1	+1	9
4	Bournemouth	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Sheffield United	5	2	1	2	+6	7
6	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Reading	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Blackburn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Luton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	QPR	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Cardiff	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Millwall	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Peterboro	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Peterborough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Derby	3	0	3	0	+0	3
21	Blackpool	4	1	0	3	-5	3
22	Bristol City	3	0	2	1	-1	2
23	Swansea	3	0	2	1	-2	2
24	Hull	3	0	1	2	-4	1
25	Nott'm Forest	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Cardiff	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	QPR	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Huddersfield	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Fulham	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Blackburn	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Luton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Hull	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Stoke	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Swansea	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Coventry	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Derby	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Blackpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Preston	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Millwall	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Middlesbrough	3	0	2	1	-2	2
20	Barnsley	3	0	2	1	-3	2
21	Sheffield United	3	0	2	1	-4	2
22	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
23	Reading	3	0	0	3	-6	0
24	Peterborough	3	0	0	3	-8	0
25	Peterboro	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.