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2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt
S U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Karlsruhe
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 41%
32%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
73%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 6
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 14. · Karlsruhe 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 22 12 6 4 +20 42
2 Greuther Furth 22 12 6 4 +18 42
3 Bochum 22 13 3 6 +17 42
4 Holstein Kiel 22 12 6 4 +15 42
5 Karlsruhe 22 11 3 8 +6 36
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 10 6 6 +3 36
7 Hannover 22 10 3 9 +8 33
8 Heidenheim 22 9 6 7 +3 33
9 Erzgebirge Aue 22 9 5 8 +1 32
10 Paderborn 22 8 7 7 +2 31
11 St Pauli 22 7 7 8 -4 28
12 Nurnberg 22 7 5 10 -5 26
13 Regensburg 22 6 8 8 -5 26
14 Darmstadt 22 7 4 11 -5 25
15 Osnabruck 22 6 4 12 -12 22
16 Braunschweig 22 5 5 12 -22 20
17 Sandhausen 22 5 3 14 -19 18
18 Wurzburger Kickers 22 4 3 15 -21 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U
3,36
B ✓
2,68
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.