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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T S T T S

2–1

Full-time

Wurzburger Kickers

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Wurzburger Kickers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 27%

41%

12%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

59%

65%

Both score Ø 56%

47%

65%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,2

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 6

6 Corners 3

8 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 9. · Wurzburger Kickers 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	17	11	3	3	+19	36
2	Bochum	17	10	3	4	+15	33
3	Holstein Kiel	17	9	5	3	+11	32
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	9	4	4	+5	31
5	Greuther Furth	17	8	5	4	+10	29
6	Hannover	17	8	2	7	+8	26
7	Karlsruhe	17	8	2	7	+4	26
8	Heidenheim	17	7	5	5	+2	26
9	Erzgebirge Aue	17	7	4	6	+4	25
10	Paderborn	17	7	4	6	+3	25
11	Osnabruck	17	6	4	7	-7	22
12	Nurnberg	17	5	5	7	-3	20
13	Regensburg	17	5	5	7	-4	20
14	Darmstadt	17	5	3	9	-5	18
15	St Pauli	17	3	7	7	-7	16
16	Sandhausen	17	4	3	10	-17	15
17	Braunschweig	17	3	5	9	-20	14
18	Wurzburger Kickers	17	2	3	12	-18	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	9	6	3	0	+12	21
2	Bochum	9	6	2	1	+14	20
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	6	2	0	+8	20
4	Hamburg	9	6	1	2	+14	19
5	Hannover	8	5	1	2	+10	16
6	Paderborn	8	5	1	2	+4	16
7	Erzgebirge Aue	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Regensburg	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Holstein Kiel	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Nurnberg	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Greuther Furth	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Braunschweig	9	3	2	4	-6	11
14	Karlsruhe	8	3	1	4	+1	10
15	St Pauli	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Darmstadt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Osnabruck	8	2	1	5	-5	7
18	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	9	5	3	1	+10	18
2	Holstein Kiel	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Hamburg	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Karlsruhe	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Osnabruck	9	4	3	2	-2	15
6	Bochum	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Erzgebirge Aue	9	3	2	4	+0	11
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Hannover	9	3	1	5	-2	10
10	Darmstadt	9	3	1	5	-3	10
11	Paderborn	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
13	St Pauli	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Regensburg	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Heidenheim	8	1	2	5	-10	5
16	Wurzburger Kickers	8	1	0	7	-10	3
17	Braunschweig	8	0	3	5	-14	3
18	Sandhausen	8	1	0	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.