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Serie B

Lecce

U U S U U

1–2

Full-time

Ascoli

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

35%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

14 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

10 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 7. · Ascoli 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	20	11	8	1	+22	41
2	Monza	20	9	8	3	+14	35
3	Chievo	20	9	8	3	+11	35
4	Salernitana	20	10	5	5	+1	35
5	Cittadella	20	10	4	6	+14	34
6	Spal	20	9	7	4	+9	34
7	Lecce	20	7	10	3	+10	31
8	Pordenone	20	6	11	3	+7	29
9	Venezia	20	7	8	5	+4	29
10	Frosinone	20	7	7	6	-1	28
11	Pisa	20	6	9	5	-5	27
12	Vicenza	20	4	10	6	-2	22
13	Brescia	20	5	6	9	-5	21
14	Cosenza	20	3	11	6	-2	20
15	Cremonese	20	4	8	8	-6	20
16	Reggina	20	4	7	9	-9	19
17	Reggiana	20	5	3	12	-16	18
18	Ascoli	20	4	5	11	-11	17
19	Virtus Entella	20	4	5	11	-16	17
20	Pescara	20	4	4	12	-19	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	10	7	2	1	+10	23
2	Empoli	10	6	4	0	+14	22
3	Spal	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Cittadella	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Chievo	10	6	2	2	+8	20
6	Monza	9	5	3	1	+12	18
7	Venezia	10	5	2	3	+4	17
8	Pisa	10	4	5	1	+1	17
9	Lecce	10	3	6	1	+6	15
10	Ascoli	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Pordenone	10	2	7	1	+4	13
12	Frosinone	10	3	4	3	-2	13
13	Brescia	10	3	3	4	+0	12
14	Vicenza	10	1	8	1	+0	11
15	Reggiana	10	3	2	5	-1	11
16	Reggina	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Cremonese	10	2	4	4	-5	10
18	Virtus Entella	11	3	1	7	-9	10
19	Pescara	10	2	3	5	-5	9
20	Cosenza	10	0	6	4	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	10	5	4	1	+8	19
2	Monza	11	4	5	2	+2	17
3	Lecce	10	4	4	2	+4	16
4	Pordenone	10	4	4	2	+3	16
5	Chievo	10	3	6	1	+3	15
6	Frosinone	10	4	3	3	+1	15
7	Cosenza	10	3	5	2	+3	14
8	Cittadella	10	4	1	5	+3	13
9	Spal	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Venezia	10	2	6	2	+0	12
11	Salernitana	10	3	3	4	-9	12
12	Vicenza	10	3	2	5	-2	11
13	Cremonese	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Pisa	10	2	4	4	-6	10
15	Brescia	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Reggina	10	1	5	4	-7	8
17	Virtus Entella	9	1	4	4	-7	7
18	Pescara	10	2	1	7	-14	7
19	Reggiana	10	2	1	7	-15	7
20	Ascoli	10	0	3	7	-8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.