Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Osnabruck
Greuther Furth
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hamburg
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +19 | 36 |
| 2 |
Bochum
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +15 | 33 |
| 3 |
Holstein Kiel
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 32 |
| 4 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 31 |
| 5 |
Greuther Furth
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | +10 | 29 |
| 6 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 28 |
| 7 |
Hannover
|
17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | +8 | 26 |
| 8 |
Karlsruhe
|
17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |
Heidenheim
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 26 |
| 10 |
Paderborn
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 25 |
| 11 |
Osnabruck
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 |
Nurnberg
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Regensburg
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 20 |
| 14 |
Darmstadt
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |
St Pauli
|
17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -7 | 16 |
| 16 |
Sandhausen
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -17 | 15 |
| 17 |
Braunschweig
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -20 | 14 |
| 18 |
Wurzburger Kickers
|
18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -19 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Osnabruck
Erzgebirge Aue
Hamburg
Osnabruck
Osnabruck
Wurzburger Kickers
Holstein Kiel
Osnabruck
Osnabruck
Paderborn
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.