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2. Bundesliga
Heidenheim
U T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Darmstadt
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heidenheim 9. · Darmstadt 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stuttgart 6 4 2 0 +4 14
2 Hamburg 6 4 1 1 +8 13
3 Bielefeld 6 3 3 0 +6 12
4 Greuther Furth 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 Erzgebirge Aue 6 3 2 1 +2 11
6 Sandhausen 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Osnabruck 6 3 0 3 +4 9
8 Karlsruhe 6 3 0 3 -2 9
9 Heidenheim 6 2 2 2 +2 8
10 St Pauli 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Nurnberg 6 2 2 2 -3 8
12 Regensburg 6 2 1 3 +3 7
13 Dresden 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Darmstadt 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Hannover 6 1 2 3 -3 5
16 Holstein Kiel 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Bochum 6 0 3 3 -4 3
18 Wehen 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,76
B
3,77
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.