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Championship

Referee: K Stroud

Swansea

S T U S S

1–0

Full-time

Brentford

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Brentford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Championship · 44/43 matches

Win Ø 45%

41%

49%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

48%

49%

Both score Ø 51%

57%

44%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 6

4 Offside 4

7 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 6. · Brentford 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	46	28	9	9	+42	93
2	West Brom	46	22	17	7	+32	83
3	Fulham	43	22	11	10	+15	77
4	Brentford	43	21	9	13	+36	72
5	Cardiff	44	19	15	10	+12	72
6	Swansea	44	18	16	10	+14	70
7	Nott'm Forest	46	18	16	12	+8	70
8	Millwall	46	17	17	12	+6	68
9	Preston	46	18	12	16	+5	66
10	Derby	46	17	13	16	-2	64
11	Blackburn	46	17	12	17	+3	63
12	Bristol City	46	17	12	17	-5	63
13	Wigan	46	15	14	17	+1	59
14	QPR	46	16	10	20	-9	58
15	Reading	46	15	11	20	+1	56
16	Stoke	46	16	8	22	-6	56
17	Sheffield Weds	46	15	11	20	-8	56
18	Middlesbrough	46	13	14	19	-13	53
19	Huddersfield	46	13	12	21	-18	51
20	Luton	46	14	9	23	-28	51
21	Birmingham	46	12	14	20	-21	50
22	Barnsley	46	12	13	21	-20	49
23	Charlton	46	12	12	22	-15	48
24	Hull	46	12	9	25	-30	45

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	23	15	5	3	+26	50
2	Fulham	22	14	2	6	+12	44
3	Brentford	21	12	5	4	+23	41
4	Cardiff	22	11	8	3	+14	41
5	Derby	23	11	8	4	+12	41
6	West Brom	23	10	10	3	+17	40
7	Preston	23	12	4	7	+10	40
8	Blackburn	23	10	9	4	+9	39
9	Millwall	23	10	8	5	+8	38
10	Wigan	23	10	7	6	+10	37
11	Stoke	23	11	3	9	+10	36
12	Swansea	22	10	5	7	+7	35
13	Nott'm Forest	23	10	5	8	+0	35
14	QPR	23	9	5	9	+0	32
15	Bristol City	23	8	7	8	-3	31
16	Luton	23	8	7	8	-4	31
17	Charlton	23	8	6	9	+1	30
18	Barnsley	23	7	9	7	-4	30
19	Huddersfield	23	8	6	9	-4	30
20	Sheffield Weds	23	7	7	9	-11	28
21	Middlesbrough	23	6	8	9	-9	26
22	Reading	23	7	4	12	-8	25
23	Birmingham	23	6	7	10	-9	25
24	Hull	23	7	3	13	-8	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	23	13	4	6	+16	43
2	West Brom	23	12	7	4	+15	43
3	Nott'm Forest	23	8	11	4	+8	35
4	Swansea	22	8	11	3	+7	35
5	Fulham	21	8	9	4	+3	33
6	Bristol City	23	9	5	9	-2	32
7	Brentford	22	9	4	9	+13	31
8	Reading	23	8	7	8	+9	31
9	Cardiff	22	8	7	7	-2	31
10	Millwall	23	7	9	7	-2	30
11	Sheffield Weds	23	8	4	11	+3	28
12	Middlesbrough	23	7	6	10	-4	27
13	Preston	23	6	8	9	-5	26
14	QPR	23	7	5	11	-9	26
15	Birmingham	23	6	7	10	-12	25
16	Blackburn	23	7	3	13	-6	24
17	Derby	23	6	5	12	-14	23
18	Wigan	23	5	7	11	-9	22
19	Huddersfield	23	5	6	12	-14	21
20	Hull	23	5	6	12	-22	21
21	Stoke	23	5	5	13	-16	20
22	Luton	23	6	2	15	-24	20
23	Barnsley	23	5	4	14	-16	19
24	Charlton	23	4	6	13	-16	18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.