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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Swansea
T S T T T
3–0
Full-time
Brentford
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Championship · 37/38 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
34%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
45%
Both score Ø 56%
51%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 2
6 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 16. · Brentford 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 39 24 9 6 +30 81
2 Sheffield United 39 22 8 9 +29 74
3 Leeds 37 21 7 9 +20 70
4 West Brom 37 19 9 9 +23 66
5 Derby 35 16 11 8 +16 59
6 Bristol City 37 16 10 11 +8 58
7 Middlesbrough 38 15 13 10 +8 58
8 Nott'm Forest 39 14 15 10 +9 57
9 Preston 39 15 12 12 +7 57
10 Aston Villa 36 14 14 8 +13 56
11 Sheffield Weds 39 14 14 11 -3 56
12 Hull 39 15 9 15 +0 54
13 Brentford 38 13 11 14 +10 50
14 Birmingham 39 12 14 13 +3 50
15 Stoke 39 10 18 11 -5 48
16 Swansea 37 13 8 16 -2 47
17 Blackburn 39 12 11 16 -9 47
18 QPR 39 12 8 19 -15 44
19 Reading 39 9 13 17 -15 40
20 Wigan 39 10 10 19 -16 40
21 Millwall 38 9 10 19 -15 37
22 Rotherham 39 7 15 17 -26 36
23 Bolton 39 8 8 23 -36 32
24 Ipswich 39 3 15 21 -34 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Dec -18 Brentford – Swansea 2–3

Match report

Swansea Brentford
1′
🟨 Luke Daniels
1–0 N. Dyer
D. James
1′
2–0 N. Dyer
K. Nordfeldt
34′
43′
🟨 Neal Maupay
45′
🟨 Julian Jeanvier
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 E. Marcondes
↦ Sergi Canós
60′
🔁 O. Watkins
↦ S. Benrahma
C. Baker-Richardson 🔁
↦ N. Dyer
71′
O. McBurnie 🔁
↦ B. Celina
71′
72′
🔁 J. Dasilva
↦ K. Mokotjo
77′
🟨 Henrik Dalsgaard
3–0 D. James
78′
C. Carter-Vickers 🔁
↦ D. James
82′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
1 K. Nordfeldt G
26 K. Naughton D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
15 W. Routledge M
12 N. Dyer M
27 J. Fulton M
28 G. Byers M
21 M. Grimes M
20 D. James M
23 C. Roberts D
10 B. Celina M
Bench (7)
46 C. Baker-Richardson
9 O. McBurnie
17 C. Carter-Vickers
19 B. McKay
13 S. Benda
16 J. Asoro
24 D. John

Coach: G. Potter

Brentford

3-4-2-1
28 L. Daniels G
22 H. Dalsgaard D
2 M. Odubajo M
23 J. Jeanvier D
34 M. Sørensen D
19 R. Sawyers M
12 K. Mokotjo M
7 Sergi Canós M
26 E. Konsa D
9 N. Maupay F
21 S. Benrahma F
Bench (7)
17 E. Marcondes
11 O. Watkins
14 J. Dasilva
33 M. Forss
25 E. Balcombe
4 L. MacLeod
10 J. McEachran

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.