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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes
Ham-Kam
T T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Valerenga
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ham-Kam Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
83%
29%
Both score Ø 63%
83%
43%
Average goals
3,8
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,58 xG 1,53
36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ham-Kam 7. · Valerenga 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Tromso 9 6 2 1 +7 +7.0 20
2 Viking 7 6 0 1 +13 +8.6 18
3 Lillestrom 7 5 1 1 +9 +4.6 16
4 Bodo/Glimt 7 4 1 2 +7 +7.3 13
5 Molde 7 4 1 2 +6 +1.4 13
6 Brann 8 3 1 4 +7 +4.2 10
7 Ham-Kam 6 3 1 2 -1 -0.9 10
8 Sandefjord 7 3 1 3 -2 +0.1 10
9 Kristiansund 6 2 2 2 -2 -3.5 8
10 KFUM Oslo 7 2 2 3 -4 -1.4 8
11 Valerenga 7 2 2 3 -4 -5.6 8
12 Fredrikstad 7 2 1 4 -6 -5.3 7
13 Sarpsborg 08 7 1 2 4 -5 -0.3 5
14 Rosenborg 7 1 2 4 -8 -3.7 5
15 Start 8 0 4 4 -10 -4.0 4
16 Aalesund 7 0 3 4 -7 -8.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ham-Kam Valerenga
1–0 H. Udahl
7′
V. Jonsson 🔁
↦ A. Ekeroth
26′
28′
🟨 Magnus Westergaard
Half-time 1–0
L. Mettler 🔁
↦ A. Trondsen
46′
50′
🟨 Aaron Kiil Olsen
65′
🔁 P. Strand
↦ V. Hedenstad
65′
🔁 E. Sorensen
↦ L. Haren
M. Johnsgard 🔁
↦ A. Potur
68′
72′
🟨 Kolbeinn Finnsson
74′
🟨 Henrik Bjørdal
75′
🔁 F. Ambina
↦ M. Westergaard
75′
🔁 O. T. Holm
↦ H. Bjordal
S. Nilsen 🔁
↦ I. Hoffmann
82′
I. Kukleci 🔁
↦ F. Sjolstad
82′
86′
🔁 K. Tshiembe
↦ A. Olsen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
24 I. Hoffmann D
2 M. Gjone D
23 F. Sjolstad D
3 E. Amundsen-Day D
5 A. Ekeroth D
26 P. Metcalfe M
16 A. Trondsen M
17 A. Potur M
29 M. Niang F
19 H. Udahl F
Bench (9)
13 S. Ostraat
7 V. Jonsson
22 S. Nilsen
15 I. Kukleci
10 L. Mettler
20 J. Gonstad
8 M. Johnsgard
4 H. Opsahl
6 W. Osnes-Ringen

Coach: Thomas Myhre

Valerenga

1 O. Hedvall G
6 V. Hedenstad D
4 A. Olsen D
37 I. Nasberg D
2 K. Finnsson D
77 L. Haren M
28 M. Westergaard M
10 C. Lange M
26 F. Thorvaldsen M
8 H. Bjordal F
17 M. Grundetjern F
Bench (9)
21 M. Sjoeng
29 F. Ambina
3 H. Sjatil
9 G. Rajkovic
24 P. Strand
11 E. Sorensen
55 S. Jarl
5 K. Tshiembe
15 O. T. Holm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Tore Sinnes · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.