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Referee: J Vergoote

Royal Excel Mouscron

T S U T U

0–1

Full-time

Waregem

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

4,2

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 3/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

60%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

80%

Both score Ø 74%

67%

80%

Average goals

1,7

3,6

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 4

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 17. · Waregem 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Waregem	5	3	0	2	+4	9
3	Beerschot VA	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Anderlecht	5	1	4	0	+2	7
7	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Kortrijk	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Genk	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Club Brugge	3	1	0	2	+2	3
14	Waasland-Beveren	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Eupen	4	0	3	1	-4	3
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Oostende	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Mouscron	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Gent	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Beerschot VA	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Oostende	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Kortrijk	3	0	1	2	-4	1
14	Eupen	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Club Brugge	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Waasland-Beveren	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Beveren	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Standard	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Kortrijk	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Beerschot VA	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Waasland-Beveren	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Beveren	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Waregem	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Anderlecht	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Mouscron	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Eupen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Oostende	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	St Truiden	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Antwerp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Gent	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.