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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Luton

T S T T T

3–3

Full-time

Fulham

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Fulham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,7

This season — Championship · 23/21 matches

Win Ø 39%

26%

52%

Points per game

0,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

83%

62%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

57%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

2,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

35% Possession 65%

10 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 12

1 Blocked shots 5

8 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luton 21. · Fulham 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	23	14	8	1	+22	50
2	Leeds	23	14	5	4	+21	47
3	Sheffield Weds	23	11	6	6	+14	39
4	Preston	23	11	5	7	+8	38
5	Fulham	21	11	4	6	+11	37
6	Swansea	22	10	7	5	+6	37
7	Blackburn	23	10	5	8	+2	35
8	Bristol City	23	9	8	6	+1	35
9	Nott'm Forest	22	9	7	6	+5	34
10	Hull	23	9	6	8	+6	33
11	Millwall	23	8	9	6	-1	33
12	Cardiff	22	8	8	6	+2	32
13	QPR	23	9	5	9	-7	32
14	Brentford	21	9	4	8	+12	31
15	Birmingham	23	8	4	11	-10	28
16	Reading	22	7	5	10	+1	26
17	Derby	23	6	8	9	-10	26
18	Charlton	23	6	7	10	-2	25
19	Huddersfield	23	6	7	10	-9	25
20	Middlesbrough	23	5	9	9	-11	24
21	Luton	23	6	2	15	-19	20
22	Barnsley	23	4	7	12	-15	19
23	Wigan	23	4	7	12	-15	19
24	Stoke	23	5	3	15	-12	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	12	9	2	1	+16	29
2	Leeds	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	West Brom	11	6	5	0	+13	23
4	Fulham	12	7	2	3	+9	23
5	Cardiff	10	7	2	1	+9	23
6	Sheffield Weds	11	6	4	1	+6	22
7	Blackburn	12	6	4	2	+5	22
8	Hull	12	6	2	4	+7	20
9	Derby	12	5	5	2	+5	20
10	Millwall	11	5	4	2	+4	19
11	Middlesbrough	12	5	4	3	+0	19
12	Brentford	10	5	3	2	+11	18
13	Swansea	11	5	2	4	+4	17
14	Birmingham	11	5	2	4	+1	17
15	Bristol City	11	4	4	3	+2	16
16	QPR	12	4	4	4	-3	16
17	Reading	11	5	0	6	+1	15
18	Charlton	12	4	3	5	+1	15
19	Wigan	11	4	3	4	-3	15
20	Luton	11	4	2	5	-1	14
21	Nott'm Forest	10	4	2	4	-1	14
22	Barnsley	12	3	5	4	-3	14
23	Huddersfield	12	3	4	5	-3	13
24	Stoke	12	3	2	7	-4	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	12	8	3	1	+9	27
2	Leeds	12	7	2	3	+10	23
3	Nott'm Forest	12	5	5	2	+6	20
4	Swansea	11	5	5	1	+2	20
5	Bristol City	12	5	4	3	-1	19
6	Sheffield Weds	12	5	2	5	+8	17
7	QPR	11	5	1	5	-4	16
8	Fulham	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Millwall	12	3	5	4	-5	14
10	Brentford	11	4	1	6	+1	13
11	Hull	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Blackburn	11	4	1	6	-3	13
13	Huddersfield	11	3	3	5	-6	12
14	Reading	11	2	5	4	+0	11
15	Birmingham	12	3	2	7	-11	11
16	Charlton	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Cardiff	12	1	6	5	-7	9
18	Preston	11	2	3	6	-8	9
19	Stoke	11	2	1	8	-8	7
20	Derby	11	1	3	7	-15	6
21	Luton	12	2	0	10	-18	6
22	Middlesbrough	11	0	5	6	-11	5
23	Barnsley	11	1	2	8	-12	5
24	Wigan	12	0	4	8	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.