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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
Ross County
T T S S T
1–2
Full-time
Motherwell
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 43%
28%
58%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
83%
63%
Both score Ø 49%
56%
42%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
2 Corners 6
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 8. · Motherwell 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 16 1 1 +42 49
2 Rangers 17 14 2 1 +40 44
3 Motherwell 19 11 1 7 +6 34
4 Aberdeen 19 9 5 5 +3 32
5 Hibernian 20 6 7 7 -5 25
6 Kilmarnock 19 6 5 8 -5 23
7 Livingston 19 5 7 7 +0 22
8 Ross County 18 5 5 8 -19 20
9 St Mirren 19 4 4 11 -12 16
10 ST Johnstone 17 3 7 7 -19 16
11 Hamilton 19 3 6 10 -14 15
12 Hearts 20 2 6 12 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Motherwell
1–0 B. Spittal
S. Kelly
24′
Half-time 1–0
Lewis Spence 🟨
48′
49′
🟨 Declan Gallagher
Lewis Spence 🟥
62′
Richard Foster 🟨
71′
B. Graham 🔁
↦ B. McKay
73′
73′
🔁 R. MacIver
↦ A. Campbell
81′
R. MacIver 1–1
L. Polworth
J. Chalmers 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
82′
Brian Graham 🟨
90′
Liam Fontaine 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Liam Polworth
90′
🟨 Peter Hartley
92′
D. Gallagher 1–2
L. Polworth
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ross County

4-5-1
21 N. Baxter G
18 R. Foster D
4 L. Fontaine D
5 C. Morris D
3 S. Kelly D
14 J. Mullin M
20 B. Spittal M
16 L. Spence M
24 H. Paton M
9 B. McKay F
27 R. Stewart F
Bench (7)
19 B. Graham
23 J. Chalmers
1 R. Laidlaw
15 K. Watson
17 E. Henderson
2 M. Fraser
11 I. Vigurs

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Motherwell

4-3-3
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley D
2 R. Tait D
31 D. Gallagher D
3 J. Carroll D
19 L. Polworth M
52 M. O'Hara D
14 J. Hylton F
6 A. Campbell M
17 J. Scott M
11 S. Seedorf F
Bench (7)
37 R. MacIver
4 L. Grimshaw
1 T. Carson
24 B. Mugabi
15 B. Maguire
25 J. Semple
8 C. Sloth

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,01
U
3,40
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.