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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Charleroi
S S U S T
0–1
Full-time
Standard
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 20/14 matches
Win Ø 48%
45%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
65%
57%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2 Corners 10
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 4. · Standard 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 21 8 9 4 +8 33
2 Genk 14 9 4 1 +20 31
3 Antwerp 14 10 1 3 +10 31
4 Charleroi 20 9 3 8 +4 30
5 Gent 14 9 2 3 +15 29
6 Kortrijk 21 7 7 7 -2 28
7 Standard 14 7 5 2 +13 26
8 Cercle Brugge 21 7 4 10 -15 25
9 Eupen 21 8 1 12 -16 25
10 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +15 24
11 Anderlecht 14 7 3 4 +7 24
12 Oostende 21 6 5 10 -16 23
13 Beveren 20 4 8 8 -4 20
14 Waregem 21 5 5 11 -13 20
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 4 5 12 -11 17
16 Lokeren 20 3 5 12 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Standard
27′
🟨 Moussa Djenepo
31′
Paul-José Mpoku 0–1
Christophe Diandy 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Zinho Vanheusden
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 Maxime Lestienne
↦ Moussa Djenepo
David Henen 🔁
↦ Christophe Diandy
63′
Stergos Marinos 🟨
66′
Dorian Dessoleil 🟨
70′
Cristian Benavente 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Maxime Lestienne
77′
🟨 Christian Luyindama
Adama Niane 🔁
↦ Massimo Bruno
79′
Jérémy Perbet 🔁
↦ Gaetan Hendrickx
87′
87′
🔁 Miloš Kosanović
↦ Renaud Emond
88′
🟨 Răzvan Marin
90′
🟨 Miloš Kosanović
90′
🔁 Samuel Bastien
↦ Paul-José Mpoku
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-5-1
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
17 Stergos Marinos D
33 Gabriele Angella D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
25 Núrio D
77 Massimo Bruno F
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
13 Christophe Diandy M
14 Cristian Benavente M
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (8)
15 Valentin Baume
6 Gjoko Zajkov
23 Steeven Willems
4 Maxime Busi
10 Jérémy Perbet
9 Adama Niane
39 David Henen
29 Romain Grange

Coach: P. Amodio

Standard

4-4-1-1
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
21 Collins Fai D
26 Christian Luyindama D
3 Zinho Vanheusden D
34 Konstantinos Laifis D
40 Paul-José Mpoku F
8 Gojko Cimirot M
18 Răzvan Marin M
19 Moussa Djenepo M
10 Mehdi Carcela-González M
9 Renaud Emond F
Bench (10)
1 Jean-Francois Gillet
6 Miloš Kosanović
2 Reginal Goreux
29 Luis Pedro Cavanda
5 Uche Agbo
23 Senna Miangue
22 Maxime Lestienne
11 Carlinhos
28 Samuel Bastien
7 Orlando Sá

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.