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Championship

Referee: Scott Duncan

Leeds

T T S T S

3–1

Full-time

Stoke

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Stoke

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Wigan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Wigan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.