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Championship
Referee: Stephen Martin
Leeds
S T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Barnsley
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Barnsley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Championship · 43/42 matches
Win Ø 27%
35%
19%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
49%
60%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 14. · Barnsley 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 43 29 8 6 +42 95
2 Cardiff 42 25 8 9 +29 83
3 Fulham 41 23 12 6 +34 81
4 Aston Villa 40 21 9 10 +25 72
5 Millwall 44 18 15 11 +12 69
6 Middlesbrough 41 20 8 13 +20 68
7 Derby 40 18 13 9 +19 67
8 Preston 43 17 15 11 +9 66
9 Sheffield United 43 19 9 15 +8 66
10 Brentford 43 17 14 12 +11 65
11 Bristol City 43 17 14 12 +10 65
12 Ipswich 43 16 8 19 -3 56
13 Norwich 43 14 14 15 -8 56
14 Leeds 43 15 9 19 -7 54
15 QPR 43 14 11 18 -11 53
16 Sheffield Weds 43 12 14 17 -8 50
17 Nott'm Forest 42 14 7 21 -15 49
18 Hull 43 11 14 18 +2 47
19 Reading 43 10 13 20 -15 43
20 Bolton 43 9 13 21 -30 40
21 Birmingham 43 11 7 25 -31 40
22 Barnsley 42 8 14 20 -19 38
23 Burton Albion 43 8 11 24 -45 35
24 Sunderland 43 6 16 21 -29 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Barnsley
1–0 T. Pearce
17′
Ronaldo Vieira 🟨
31′
36′
P. O'Connor 2–0
own goal
Half-time 3–0
3–0 E. Alioski
K. Roofe
50′
62′
🔁 K. Moore
↦ C. Mahoney
C. Ekuban 🔁
↦ E. Alioski
71′
73′
🔁 G. Moncur
↦ T. Bradshaw
81′
🔁 R. Hedges
↦ M. Mills
A. Forshaw 🔁
↦ Samuel Sáiz
84′
87′
🟨 Adam Hammill
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Leeds

4-2-3-1
30 B. Peacock-Farrell G
18 P. Jansson D
5 M. Pennington D
37 P. O'Connor D
46 T. Pearce D
19 Pablo Hernández M
21 Samuel Sáiz M
7 K. Roofe F
23 K. Phillips M
25 R. Vieira Nan M
10 E. Alioski M
Bench (7)
45 C. Ekuban
4 A. Forshaw
1 A. Lonergan
6 L. Cooper
8 V. Anita
9 P. Lasogga
24 H. Sacko

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Barnsley

4-1-4-1
1 A. Davies G
5 M. Mills D
3 Z. Fryers D
6 L. Lindsay D
7 A. Hammill M
22 G. Gardner M
17 A. Yiadom D
20 B. Potts M
21 C. Mahoney M
9 T. Bradshaw F
15 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
19 K. Moore
10 G. Moncur
34 R. Hedges
2 J. McCarthy
12 D. Cavaré
16 E. Pinnock
30 J. Walton

Coach: José Morais

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stephen Martin · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.