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Championship
Referee: Darren Deadman
Charlton
T T T S U
2–0
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
This season — Championship · 36/35 matches
Win Ø 37%
17%
57%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
58%
34%
Both score Ø 38%
47%
29%
Average goals
2,7
1,9
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 12
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charlton 23. · Middlesbrough 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 37 21 11 5 +30 74
2 Middlesbrough 35 20 7 8 +26 67
3 Hull 33 19 7 7 +30 64
4 Brighton 34 17 12 5 +15 63
5 Derby 36 15 13 8 +13 58
6 Cardiff 37 15 13 9 +8 58
7 Sheffield Weds 34 15 11 8 +17 56
8 Birmingham 36 15 10 11 +6 55
9 Ipswich 36 15 10 11 +1 55
10 Preston 37 13 13 11 +1 52
11 QPR 37 12 14 11 +4 50
12 Wolves 37 12 11 14 -5 47
13 Leeds 36 11 14 11 -5 47
14 Nott'm Forest 36 11 12 13 -1 45
15 Reading 35 11 11 13 +0 44
16 Blackburn 36 10 13 13 +2 43
17 Brentford 36 12 7 17 -10 43
18 Huddersfield 37 11 9 17 -4 42
19 Bristol City 37 10 10 17 -24 40
20 Fulham 37 8 13 16 -7 37
21 Milton Keynes Dons 37 9 10 18 -18 37
22 Rotherham 37 10 6 21 -19 36
23 Charlton 36 6 11 19 -34 29
24 Bolton 37 4 14 19 -26 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charlton Middlesbrough
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Jorge Teixeira
J. Guðmunds­son
57′
Jorge Teixeira 🟨
60′
Alou Diarra 🟨
64′
67′
🟨 Jordan Rhodes
74′
🔁 C. Stuani
↦ S. Downing
74′
🔁 D. Nugent
↦ J. Rhodes
75′
🟨 Adam Clayton
R. Ghoochannejhad 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
78′
2–0 C. Harriott
80′
Callum Harriott 🟨
81′
Z. Bergdich 🔁
↦ C. Harriott
88′
Morgan Fox 🟨
90′
H. Lennon 🔁
↦ J. Guðmunds­son
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Charlton

30 N. Pope G
15 R. Fanni D
50 Jorge Teixeira D
2 Suk-Young Yoon D
21 M. Fox D
12 A. Diarra M
47 M. Motta D
7 J. Guðmunds­son M
8 J. Cousins M
11 C. Harriott F
37 A. Lookman F
Bench (7)
16 R. Ghoochannejhad
19 Z. Bergdich
26 H. Lennon
17 T. Holmes-Dennis
27 D. Mitov
28 R. Johnson
39 D. Poyet

Middlesbrough

1 D. Konstantopoulos G
3 G. Friend D
6 B. Gibson D
22 D. Fry D
19 S. Downing F
7 G. Leadbitter M
24 Nsue D
27 A. Adomah M
8 A. Clayton M
21 G. Ramírez M
9 J. Rhodes F
Bench (7)
18 C. Stuani
35 D. Nugent
5 R. De Laet
16 J. De Sart
25 M. Agazzi
26 T. Kalas
34 A. Forshaw

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Darren Deadman · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
2,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.