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Championship

Referee: Iain Williamson

Milton Keynes Dons

U T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Cardiff

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milton Keynes Dons Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Championship · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

23%

36%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

41%

36%

Both score Ø 46%

41%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 3

4 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milton Keynes Dons 21. · Cardiff 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	22	14	4	4	+21	46
2	Brighton	22	11	10	1	+8	43
3	Derby	21	11	8	2	+18	41
4	Hull	21	12	5	4	+17	41
5	Burnley	22	10	8	4	+10	38
6	Ipswich	22	9	7	6	+2	34
7	Cardiff	22	8	9	5	+4	33
8	Birmingham	22	9	6	7	+4	33
9	Brentford	23	9	6	8	+2	33
10	Sheffield Weds	21	8	8	5	+5	32
11	Reading	22	8	6	8	+3	30
12	QPR	22	7	8	7	-1	29
13	Leeds	22	7	8	7	-2	29
14	Blackburn	22	6	10	6	+3	28
15	Nott'm Forest	22	7	7	8	+1	28
16	Preston	22	5	10	7	-1	25
17	Wolves	22	6	7	9	-4	25
18	Fulham	22	5	9	8	-3	24
19	Huddersfield	22	5	6	11	-10	21
20	Bristol City	22	4	8	10	-17	20
21	Milton Keynes Dons	22	5	4	13	-12	19
22	Rotherham	22	5	3	14	-14	18
23	Charlton	22	4	6	12	-19	18
24	Bolton	22	1	11	10	-15	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	10	8	2	0	+15	26
2	Middlesbrough	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Brighton	11	8	2	1	+5	26
4	Burnley	11	7	2	2	+10	23
5	Derby	11	6	4	1	+13	22
6	Cardiff	11	6	4	1	+7	22
7	Sheffield Weds	10	6	3	1	+9	21
8	Brentford	12	6	2	4	+1	20
9	Reading	11	5	4	2	+7	19
10	QPR	11	4	6	1	+6	18
11	Nott'm Forest	11	5	3	3	+5	18
12	Blackburn	11	3	6	2	+4	15
13	Ipswich	11	3	5	3	+1	14
14	Birmingham	11	4	2	5	-3	14
15	Fulham	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Milton Keynes Dons	11	4	1	6	-3	13
17	Charlton	11	3	4	4	-5	13
18	Huddersfield	11	3	3	5	-1	12
19	Preston	11	2	6	3	-1	12
20	Leeds	11	3	3	5	-4	12
21	Bolton	11	1	8	2	-1	11
22	Wolves	11	2	5	4	-2	11
23	Rotherham	11	3	2	6	-5	11
24	Bristol City	11	2	4	5	-7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	11	6	2	3	+6	20
2	Ipswich	11	6	2	3	+1	20
3	Birmingham	11	5	4	2	+7	19
4	Derby	10	5	4	1	+5	19
5	Brighton	11	3	8	0	+3	17
6	Leeds	11	4	5	2	+2	17
7	Hull	11	4	3	4	+2	15
8	Burnley	11	3	6	2	+0	15
9	Wolves	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Brentford	11	3	4	4	+1	13
11	Preston	11	3	4	4	+0	13
12	Blackburn	11	3	4	4	-1	13
13	Fulham	11	2	5	4	-2	11
14	Cardiff	11	2	5	4	-3	11
15	Reading	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Sheffield Weds	11	2	5	4	-4	11
17	QPR	11	3	2	6	-7	11
18	Nott'm Forest	11	2	4	5	-4	10
19	Bristol City	11	2	4	5	-10	10
20	Huddersfield	11	2	3	6	-9	9
21	Rotherham	11	2	1	8	-9	7
22	Milton Keynes Dons	11	1	3	7	-9	6
23	Charlton	11	1	2	8	-14	5
24	Bolton	11	0	3	8	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.