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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
3–0
Full-time
Birmingham
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Championship · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 40%
38%
41%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
62%
27%
Both score Ø 59%
76%
41%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 10. · Birmingham 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 22 14 4 4 +21 46
2 Brighton 22 11 10 1 +8 43
3 Derby 21 11 8 2 +18 41
4 Hull 21 12 5 4 +17 41
5 Burnley 22 10 8 4 +10 38
6 Ipswich 22 9 7 6 +2 34
7 Cardiff 22 8 9 5 +4 33
8 Birmingham 22 9 6 7 +4 33
9 Brentford 23 9 6 8 +2 33
10 Sheffield Weds 21 8 8 5 +5 32
11 Reading 22 8 6 8 +3 30
12 QPR 22 7 8 7 -1 29
13 Leeds 22 7 8 7 -2 29
14 Blackburn 22 6 10 6 +3 28
15 Nott'm Forest 22 7 7 8 +1 28
16 Preston 22 5 10 7 -1 25
17 Wolves 22 6 7 9 -4 25
18 Fulham 22 5 9 8 -3 24
19 Huddersfield 22 5 6 11 -10 21
20 Bristol City 22 4 8 10 -17 20
21 Milton Keynes Dons 22 5 4 13 -12 19
22 Rotherham 22 5 3 14 -14 18
23 Charlton 22 4 6 12 -19 18
24 Bolton 22 1 11 10 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Birmingham
1–0 F. Forestieri
37′
2–0 K. Lee
39′
43′
🟨 Jacques Maghoma
Half-time 3–0
3–0 F. Forestieri
A. Nuhiu
48′
J. Helan 🔁
↦ R. Wallace
66′
71′
🔁 V. Solomon-Otabor
↦ D. Gray
L. McGugan 🔁
↦ F. Forestieri
72′
72′
🔁 C. Donaldson
↦ J. Vaughan
77′
🔁 A. Shinnie
↦ Jon Toral
R. Wiggins 🔁
↦ S. Hutchinson
81′
83′
🟨 Paul Caddis
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

28 J. Wildsmith G
36 D. Pudil D
5 G. Loovens D
32 J. Hunt D
4 S. Hutchinson M
33 R. Wallace M
20 K. Lee M
41 B. Bannan M
45 F. Forestieri F
9 A. Nuhiu F
14 G. Hooper F
Bench (7)
17 J. Helan
10 L. McGugan
16 R. Wiggins
6 Semedo
18 Lucas João
24 M. Sougou
34 L. Price

Birmingham

29 T. Kuszczak G
23 J. Spector
3 J. Grounds D
31 P. Caddis D
28 M. Morrison D
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
19 J. Maghoma M
26 D. Davis M
20 Jon Toral M
7 D. Gray M
15 J. Vaughan F
Bench (7)
17 V. Solomon-Otabor
9 C. Donaldson
22 A. Shinnie
1 A. Legzdins
4 P. Robinson
44 N. Brock-Madsen
45 G. Halford

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.