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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
Everton
U S U S U
0–3
Full-time
Man United
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 8. · Man United 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 8 6 0 2 +12 18
2 Arsenal 8 5 1 2 +6 16
3 Man United 8 5 1 2 +4 16
4 Crystal Palace 8 5 0 3 +4 15
5 Leicester 8 4 3 1 +2 15
6 West Ham 8 4 2 2 +6 14
7 Tottenham 9 3 5 1 +4 14
8 Everton 8 3 4 1 +4 13
9 Liverpool 9 3 4 2 -2 13
10 Southampton 8 3 3 2 +3 12
11 Swansea 8 2 4 2 +0 10
12 Watford 8 2 4 2 -1 10
13 Norwich 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Stoke 8 2 3 3 -2 9
15 Bournemouth 8 2 2 4 -2 8
16 Chelsea 8 2 2 4 -5 8
17 West Brom 8 2 2 4 -5 8
18 Aston Villa 8 1 1 6 -5 4
19 Sunderland 8 0 3 5 -10 3
20 Newcastle 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton Man United
18′
M. Schneiderlin 0–1
C. Smalling
Séamus Coleman 🟨
22′
22′
Ander Herrera 0–2
M. Rojo
Half-time 0–2
A. Koné 🔁
↦ S. Naismith
46′
46′
🔁 J. Lingard
↦ Mata
50′
🟨 Bastian Schweinsteiger
52′
🟨 Marcos Rojo
62′
W. Rooney 0–3
Ander Herrera
Romelu Lukaku 🟨
70′
Deulofeu 🔁
↦ A. Lennon
73′
74′
🔁 M. Carrick
↦ B. Schweinsteiger
81′
🔁 M. Fellaini
↦ Ander Herrera
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Everton

24 T. Howard G
6 P. Jagielka D
23 S. Coleman D
5 J. Stones D
32 B. Galloway D
12 A. Lennon M
18 G. Barry M
16 J. McCarthy M
20 R. Barkley M
14 S. Naismith M
10 R. Lukaku F
Bench (7)
9 A. Koné
19 Deulofeu
1 Joel Robles
11 K. Mirallas
21 L. Osman
25 Ramiro Funes Mori
27 T. Browning

Man United

1 De Gea G
36 M. Darmian D
5 M. Rojo D
12 C. Smalling D
4 P. Jones D
31 B. Schweinsteiger M
8 Mata M
28 M. Schneiderlin M
21 Ander Herrera M
10 W. Rooney F
9 A. Martial M
Bench (7)
35 J. Lingard
16 M. Carrick
27 M. Fellaini
7 M. Depay
17 D. Blind
44 Andreas Pereira
50 S. Johnstone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.