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Serie A

Referee: Antonio Damato

Palermo

S U T T T

2–4

Full-time

Roma

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

38% Possession 62%

14 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

5 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 12. · Roma 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Inter	6	5	0	1	+2	15
3	Torino	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Chievo	7	3	3	1	+6	12
5	Sassuolo	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Lazio	6	4	0	2	-3	12
7	Roma	6	3	2	1	+6	11
8	Atalanta	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Sampdoria	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	Napoli	6	2	3	1	+5	9
11	Milan	6	3	0	3	-1	9
12	Palermo	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Empoli	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Udinese	6	2	0	4	-3	6
15	Genoa	6	2	0	4	-3	6
16	Juventus	6	1	2	3	-1	5
17	Carpi	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Verona	7	0	4	3	-4	4
19	Frosinone	6	1	1	4	-4	4
20	Bologna	6	1	0	5	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sampdoria	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Torino	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Lazio	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Fiorentina	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Inter	4	3	0	1	+0	9
6	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Atalanta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Milan	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Palermo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Carpi	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Empoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Bologna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
18	Verona	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Juventus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Chievo	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Roma	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Torino	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Juventus	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Lazio	3	1	0	2	-8	3
14	Napoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Verona	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Frosinone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Carpi	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Genoa	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.