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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Alexandre Da Silva Esteves

Moreirense

T U T U S

1–2

Full-time

Estoril

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 21/20 matches

Win Ø 22%

19%

25%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

48%

60%

Both score Ø 42%

48%

35%

Average goals

2,3

2,9

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

9 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 11

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

7 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 16. · Estoril 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	21	17	4	0	+43	55
2	Benfica	22	16	5	1	+40	53
3	Sp Lisbon	22	16	5	1	+32	53
4	Sp Braga	22	15	1	6	+20	46
5	Rio Ave	22	11	3	8	+5	36
6	Boavista	22	9	3	10	-5	30
7	Chaves	22	8	6	8	-7	30
8	Guimaraes	22	9	2	11	-8	29
9	Maritimo	22	8	5	9	-10	29
10	Tondela	22	7	4	11	-8	25
11	Portimonense	22	6	6	10	-3	24
12	Pacos Ferreira	22	5	6	11	-15	21
13	Belenenses	22	5	6	11	-15	21
14	Aves	22	5	5	12	-11	20
15	Feirense	22	6	2	14	-11	20
16	Moreirense	21	4	7	10	-14	19
17	Vitoria Setubal	22	3	9	10	-15	18
18	Estoril	20	5	3	12	-18	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+22	32
2	Porto	11	10	1	0	+27	31
3	Sp Braga	12	10	0	2	+20	30
4	Benfica	10	9	1	0	+26	28
5	Rio Ave	11	7	1	3	+9	22
6	Maritimo	11	6	3	2	+3	21
7	Boavista	11	7	0	4	+0	21
8	Guimaraes	10	6	1	3	-1	19
9	Portimonense	11	5	2	4	+5	17
10	Belenenses	11	4	4	3	+1	16
11	Pacos Ferreira	11	4	4	3	+0	16
12	Vitoria Setubal	11	3	5	3	+0	14
13	Chaves	11	3	5	3	-1	14
14	Estoril	10	4	1	5	-2	13
15	Feirense	11	4	1	6	-4	13
16	Tondela	11	3	2	6	-5	11
17	Moreirense	10	1	6	3	-5	9
18	Aves	11	2	2	7	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	7	4	1	+14	25
2	Porto	10	7	3	0	+16	24
3	Sp Lisbon	10	6	3	1	+10	21
4	Sp Braga	10	5	1	4	+0	16
5	Chaves	11	5	1	5	-6	16
6	Tondela	11	4	2	5	-3	14
7	Rio Ave	11	4	2	5	-4	14
8	Aves	11	3	3	5	-3	12
9	Guimaraes	12	3	1	8	-7	10
10	Moreirense	11	3	1	7	-9	10
11	Boavista	11	2	3	6	-5	9
12	Maritimo	11	2	2	7	-13	8
13	Feirense	11	2	1	8	-7	7
14	Portimonense	11	1	4	6	-8	7
15	Pacos Ferreira	11	1	2	8	-15	5
16	Estoril	10	1	2	7	-16	5
17	Belenenses	11	1	2	8	-16	5
18	Vitoria Setubal	11	0	4	7	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.