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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Estoril
U U T S U
0–2
Full-time
Feirense
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Feirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
19%
25%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 41%
38%
44%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
2,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
12 Shots 3
1 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 25
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Estoril 17. · Feirense 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 17 14 3 0 +36 45
2 Sp Lisbon 17 13 4 0 +28 43
3 Benfica 17 12 4 1 +29 40
4 Sp Braga 17 12 1 4 +19 37
5 Rio Ave 17 8 3 6 +6 27
6 Maritimo 17 8 3 6 -3 27
7 Chaves 17 6 5 6 -2 23
8 Guimaraes 17 7 2 8 -8 23
9 Boavista 16 6 2 8 -4 20
10 Portimonense 17 4 6 7 -4 18
11 Tondela 16 5 3 8 -7 18
12 Belenenses 16 5 3 8 -8 18
13 Feirense 16 4 2 10 -8 14
14 Aves 17 3 5 9 -10 14
15 Moreirense 17 3 5 9 -14 14
16 Pacos Ferreira 17 3 5 9 -15 14
17 Estoril 16 3 3 10 -19 12
18 Vitoria Setubal 16 2 5 9 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Estoril Feirense
21′
Pedro Monteiro 1–0
own goal
28′
🟨 Flávio
Abner 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
Eduardo 🔁
↦ Joel
46′
Kleber 🟨
52′
Bruno Gomes 🔁
↦ Kléber
54′
56′
C. Kyriakou 2–0
own goal
64′
🟨 Hugo Seco
Aylton Boa Morte 🔁
↦ Victor Andrade
70′
71′
🟨 Luís Rocha
77′
🔁 Luís Machado
↦ Paraiba
80′
🟨 Luís Machado
87′
🔁 Graça
↦ Hugo Seco
93′
🔁 João Tavares
↦ O. Etebo
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Estoril

4-3-3
31 Moreira G
5 Joel D
25 C. Kyriakou D
30 Abner Felipe D
4 Pedro Monteiro D
17 Lucas Evangelista M
88 Pedro Rodrigues M
23 Wesley D
10 Kléber F
33 Victor Andrade M
11 Allano M
Bench (7)
8 Eduardo
9 Bruno Gomes
70 Aylton Boa Morte
1 Thierry Graça
20 Matheus Índio
22 André Claro
29 J. Aguilar

Coach: Filipe Pedro

Feirense

4-4-2
22 Caio Secco G
13 Luís Rocha D
3 A. Kakuba D
32 Flavio D
28 J. Alcenat D
30 Luís Aurélio M
8 Tiago Silva M
77 Hugo Seco M
10 O. Etebo M
19 João Silva F
12 Paraiba M
Bench (7)
7 Luís Machado
6 Graça
70 João Tavares
4 A. Briseño
9 Luis Henrique
35 Sérgio Barge
37 M. Miskiewicz

Coach: Nuno Santos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.